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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Bayern Munich

S S S S S

3–0

Full-time

Hertha

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,8

1,3

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

3,7

2,0

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+3,3

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

75% Possession 25%

16 Shots 2

7 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

5 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 2. · Hertha 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	4	3	0	1	+10	9
2	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Hertha	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Ein Frankfurt	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	RB Leipzig	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	FC Koln	3	2	1	0	+5	7
7	M'gladbach	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Freiburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
9	Wolfsburg	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Mainz	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Hoffenheim	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-7	4
13	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	FC Ingolstadt 04	4	0	1	3	-6	1
16	Hamburg	4	0	1	3	-7	1
17	Schalke 04	3	0	0	3	-5	0
18	Werder Bremen	3	0	0	3	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Mainz	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+4	4
2	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+3	3
4	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Mainz	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	FC Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
12	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Darmstadt	2	0	0	2	-8	0
18	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.