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Ligue 2

Pau FC

T U T

0–1

Full-time

Guingamp

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Guingamp

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

0,3

1,0

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 11

1 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 8

12 Free kicks against 8

6 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pau FC 19. · Guingamp 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Caen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Sochaux	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Niort	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Troyes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Valenciennes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Grenoble	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+1	6
9	Clermont	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Dunkerque	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Rodez	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Chateauroux	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Auxerre	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	Nancy	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Guingamp	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Chambly	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-5	1
20	Ajaccio	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Valenciennes	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Grenoble	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sochaux	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Le Havre	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Paris FC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Caen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Rodez	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Dunkerque	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Pau FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Chateauroux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Chambly	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Caen	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Dunkerque	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Niort	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Le Havre	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Grenoble	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Chateauroux	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Guingamp	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Chambly	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rodez	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Troyes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Valenciennes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Nancy	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Pau FC	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.