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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Valerenga
U T U S U
2–4
Full-time
Molde
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,2
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 49%
29%
68%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
39%
71%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
61%
Average goals
2,7
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
4 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 10. · Molde 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 28 19 5 4 +37 62
2 Bodo/Glimt 28 14 9 5 +19 51
3 Odd 28 14 7 7 +7 49
4 Rosenborg 28 13 9 6 +11 48
5 Viking 28 12 7 9 +9 43
6 Kristiansund 28 11 8 9 +4 41
7 Brann 28 10 10 8 +5 40
8 Haugesund 28 8 12 8 +4 36
9 Stabaek 28 9 9 10 +0 36
10 Valerenga 28 8 10 10 -2 34
11 Lillestrom 28 7 8 13 -14 29
12 Tromso 28 8 5 15 -18 29
13 Sarpsborg 08 28 5 13 10 -10 28
14 Mjondalen 28 5 12 11 -13 27
15 Stromsgodset 28 6 8 14 -20 26
16 Ranheim 28 6 6 16 -19 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Molde
1–0 Bard Finne
11′
23′
Eirik Hestad 1–1
Ohi Omoijuanfo
24′
🟨 Ohi Omoijuanfo
31′
Mathis Bolly 1–2
Eirik Hestad
Johan Bjørdal 🔁
↦ Ivan Nasberg
42′
Half-time 1–2
55′
🟨 Etzaz Hussain
2–2 Mayron George
56′
58′
Tobias Christensen 2–3
Mathis Bolly
61′
🔁 Mattias Mostrom
↦ Mathis Bolly
Aron Dønnum 🔁
↦ Deyver Vega
64′
Mohammed Fellah 🔁
↦ Magnus Lekven
64′
75′
🔁 Magnus Eikrem
↦ Tobias Christensen
81′
Etzaz Hussain 2–4
Magnus Eikrem
82′
Etzaz Hussain 2–5
Magnus Eikrem
84′
🔁 Vegard Forren
↦ Martin Bjornbak
90′
🟨 Magnus Eikrem
Full-time 2–5

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
13 Kristoffer Klaesson G
5 Efrain Juarez D
27 Pierre Kanstrup D
22 Ivan Nasberg D
25 Sam Adekugbe D
8 Magnus Lekven M
14 Mohammed Abu M
7 Deyver Vega M
23 Felix Horn Myhre M
11 Bard Finne M
9 Mayron George F
Bench (7)
1 Kjetil Haug
3 Johan Bjørdal
33 Amin Nouri
26 Aron Dønnum
34 Brede Sandmoen
29 Mohammed Fellah
28 Ousmane Camara

Coach: R. Deila

Molde

4-2-3-1
12 Alexandro Craninx G
18 Kristoffer Haraldseid D
2 Martin Bjornbak D
4 Ruben Gabrielsen D
11 Martin Ellingsen D
17 Fredrik Aursnes M
16 Etzaz Hussain M
19 Eirik Hestad M
15 Tobias Christensen M
30 Mathis Bolly M
99 Ohi Omoijuanfo F
Bench (7)
1 Andreas Linde
5 Vegard Forren
50 Jakob Nyland Örsahl
7 Magnus Eikrem
47 Ole Sebastian Sundgot
10 Leke James
9 Mattias Mostrom

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.