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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Valerenga
S T S U T
2–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 40%
43%
36%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
57%
64%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,9
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valerenga 5. · Sandefjord 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 14 12 2 0 +29 38
2 Molde 16 11 1 4 +26 34
3 Odd 15 9 1 5 +6 28
4 Rosenborg 14 7 3 4 +12 24
5 Valerenga 14 6 5 3 +0 23
6 Kristiansund 14 5 6 3 +7 21
7 Stabaek 14 4 6 4 -2 18
8 Brann 14 5 3 6 -3 18
9 Stromsgodset 14 5 3 6 -7 18
10 Sarpsborg 08 14 5 2 7 -1 17
11 Sandefjord 14 5 1 8 -9 16
12 Haugesund 14 4 3 7 -9 15
13 Mjondalen 14 4 2 8 -6 14
14 Viking 14 3 4 7 -9 13
15 Start 15 2 6 7 -11 12
16 Aalesund 14 1 4 9 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valerenga Sandefjord
10′
S. Gussiås 0–1
K. Hansen
F. Myhre 🔁
↦ S. Adekugbe
20′
J. Bjørdal 🔁
↦ I. Näsberg
29′
Half-time 0–1
Matthías Vilhjálmsson 🟨
54′
56′
🔁 E. Brenden
↦ K. Hansen
B. Finne 🔁
↦ B. Stokke
64′
O. Sahraoui 🔁
↦ M. Lekven
64′
Johan Bjørdal 🟨
76′
79′
🔁 Celorrio
↦ Rufo Herraiz
1–1 B. Finne
83′
2–1 B. Finne
A. Dønnum
89′
90′
🟨 Sivert Gussias
92′
🔁 H. Falchener
↦ B. Wembangomo
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
2 C. Borchgrevink D
8 M. Lekven M
6 H. Shala F
14 F. Jensen M
9 A. Dønnum F
10 M. Vilhjálmsson M
20 B. Stokke F
Bench (7)
23 F. Myhre
3 J. Bjørdal
11 B. Finne
26 O. Sahraoui
1 K. Haug
15 O. Holm
31 B. Skaret

Coach: D. Fagermo

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Storevik G
2 L. Grorud D
5 M. Kreuzriegler D
19 B. Wembangomo D
21 A. Kralj D
13 L. Markmanrud M
6 E. Pálsson M
11 K. Hansen M
18 W. Kurtović M
10 Rufo Herraiz M
9 S. Gussiås F
Bench (9)
15 E. Brenden
7 Celorrio
25 H. Falchener
29 J. Fjeldskår
22 H. Nilsen
31 P. Johansen
14 S. Mladenovic
99 J. Granlund
16 S. Mørk

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.