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Eliteserien
Referee: Tommy Skjerven
Start
U T S T T
2–1
Full-time
Valerenga
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 14/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
7%
46%
Points per game
0,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
57%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
50%
62%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Start 15. · Valerenga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 14 12 2 0 +29 38
2 Molde 15 10 1 4 +24 31
3 Odd 14 9 1 4 +8 28
4 Rosenborg 14 7 3 4 +12 24
5 Valerenga 13 6 5 2 +1 23
6 Kristiansund 14 5 6 3 +7 21
7 Stabaek 14 4 6 4 -2 18
8 Brann 14 5 3 6 -3 18
9 Stromsgodset 14 5 3 6 -7 18
10 Sarpsborg 08 14 5 2 7 -1 17
11 Sandefjord 14 5 1 8 -9 16
12 Haugesund 14 4 3 7 -9 15
13 Mjondalen 14 4 2 8 -6 14
14 Viking 14 3 4 7 -9 13
15 Start 14 1 6 7 -12 9
16 Aalesund 14 1 4 9 -23 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Start Valerenga
Vegard Bergan 🟨
21′
1–0 E. Schulze
K. Kabran
23′
Mikael Ugland 🟨
36′
38′
🟨 Jonatan Nation
Kevin Kabran 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 B. Stokke
↦ M. Lekven
E. Børufsen 🔁
↦ M. Ugland
62′
I. Twum 🔁
↦ E. Marković
62′
68′
🔁 B. Finne
↦ O. Sahraoui
S. Skålevik 🔁
↦ K. Skaanes
70′
75′
B. Stokke 1–1
B. Finne
H. Robstad 🔁
↦ K. Kabran
77′
E. Segberg 🔁
↦ J. Jørgensen
78′
80′
🔁 O. Holm
↦ H. Shala
87′
🟨 Ivan Näsberg
2–1 E. Schulze
E. Børufsen
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Start

4-3-3
1 J. Deumeland G
6 J. Jørgensen M
3 V. Bergan D
27 E. Wichne D
22 K. Tønnessen D
2 J. Daland D
11 E. Schulze M
19 K. Skaanes F
8 E. Marković M
16 M. Ugland F
7 K. Kabran F
Bench (8)
14 E. Børufsen
18 I. Twum
10 S. Skålevik
15 H. Robstad
23 E. Segberg
32 J. Eftevaag
12 A. Wichne
17 A. Akinyemi

Coach: J. Hardarson

Valerenga

4-3-3
13 K. Klaesson G
4 J. Nation D
22 I. Näsberg D
25 S. Adekugbe D
8 M. Lekven M
6 H. Shala M
14 F. Jensen M
23 F. Myhre D
9 A. Dønnum F
26 O. Sahraoui F
10 M. Vilhjálmsson F
Bench (7)
20 B. Stokke
11 B. Finne
15 O. Holm
1 K. Haug
3 J. Bjørdal
31 B. Skaret
33 A. Nouri

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tommy Skjerven · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.