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Championship
Referee: J Gillett
0–0
Full-time
Watford
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sheffield Weds Watford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — Championship · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
8 Shots 6
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
2 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sheffield Weds 1. · Watford 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +2 3
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 QPR 2 1 0 1 +1 3
4 Bournemouth 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Bristol City 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Luton 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Swansea 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Norwich 1 1 0 0 +1 3
11 Rotherham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Coventry 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
15 Stoke 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 Blackburn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Middlesbrough 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Barnsley 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Brentford 1 0 0 1 -1 0
20 Preston 1 0 0 1 -1 0
21 Huddersfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Derby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Nott'm Forest 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sheffield Weds Watford
Half-time 0–0
L. Palmer 🔁
↦ M. Penney
55′
58′
🔁 S. Perica
↦ G. Murray
Massimo Luongo 🟨
65′
Barry Bannan 🟨
68′
E. Kachunga 🔁
↦ J. Rhodes
69′
72′
🔁 J. Garner
↦ Domingos Quina
81′
🟨 Nathaniel Chalobah
A. Reach 🔁
↦ J. Windass
85′
85′
🔁 I. Pussetto
↦ João Pedro
88′
🟨 James Garner
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sheffield Weds

3-4-1-2
25 C. Dawson G
15 T. Lees D
4 J. van Aken D
27 D. Iorfa D
14 M. Penney M
10 B. Bannan M
7 K. Harris M
21 M. Luongo M
18 J. Windass F
20 J. Rhodes F
24 I. Brown F
Bench (7)
2 L. Palmer
45 E. Kachunga
11 A. Reach
17 F. Dele-Bashiru
26 L. Shaw
29 A. Hunt
28 J. Wildsmith

Coach: G. Monk

Watford

5-4-1
1 B. Foster G
15 C. Cathcart D
27 C. Kabasele D
6 B. Wilmot D
8 T. Cleverley M
14 N. Chalobah M
12 K. Sema D
20 Domingos Quina M
17 G. Murray F
3 J. Ngakia D
10 João Pedro M
Bench (7)
25 S. Perica
16 J. Garner
33 I. Pussetto
26 D. Bachmann
34 J. Sinclair
4 C. Dawson
31 F. Sierralta

Coach: V. Ivić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,83
U ✓
3,14
B
2,60
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,32
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Gillett · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.