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Bundesliga
Referee: Bastian Dankert
Ein Frankfurt
T S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 8. · Bayern Munich 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +14 16
2 Hertha 7 4 2 1 +4 14
3 Dortmund 7 4 1 2 +10 13
4 FC Koln 6 3 3 0 +7 12
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 0 +2 10
8 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 M'gladbach 6 3 1 2 +0 10
10 Freiburg 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Wolfsburg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -8 5
15 Werder Bremen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 Schalke 04 6 1 0 5 -4 3
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 6 0 1 5 -9 1
18 Hamburg 6 0 1 5 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Bayern Munich
Michael Hector 🟨
8′
10′
A. Robben 0–1
D. Alaba
21′
🟨 Xabi Alonso
31′
🟨 Mats Hummels
Szabolcs Huszti 🟨
34′
1–1 S. Huszti
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Renato Sanches
↦ Xabi Alonso
62′
J. Kimmich 1–2
M. Hummels
Szabolcs Huszti 🟨
65′
Szabolcs Huszti 🟥
65′
66′
🟨 Renato Sanches
M. Hasebe 🔁
↦ A. Rebić
67′
67′
🔁 R. Lewandowski
↦ K. Coman
S. Tarashaj 🔁
↦ M. Hector
70′
74′
🟨 Philipp Lahm
76′
🔁 Rafinha
↦ A. Robben
B. Hrgota 🔁
↦ A. Meier
77′
2–2 M. Fabián
T. Chandler
78′
Timothy Chandler 🟨
86′
Lukáš Hrádecký 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

5-4-1
1 L. Hradecky G
19 D. Abraham D
6 B. Oczipka M
22 T. Chandler M
15 M. Hector D
5 Jesús Vallejo D
8 S. Huszti M
10 M. Fabián M
39 Omar Mascarell M
14 A. Meier F
17 A. Rebić F
Bench (7)
20 M. Hasebe
30 S. Tarashaj
31 B. Hrgota
9 H. Seferović
11 M. Gaćinović
13 H. Lindner
33 T. Tawatha

Coach: N. Kovač

Bayern Munich

4-3-3
1 M. Neuer G
21 P. Lahm D
17 J. Boateng D
5 M. Hummels D
27 D. Alaba D
10 A. Robben M
14 Xabi Alonso M
6 Thiago Alcântara M
32 J. Kimmich D
25 T. Müller M
29 K. Coman M
Bench (7)
35 Renato Sanches
9 R. Lewandowski
13 Rafinha
20 F. Götze
26 S. Ulreich
28 H. Badstuber
37 J. Green

Coach: C. Ancelotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bastian Dankert · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.