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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
St Truiden
T T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Westerlo
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Westerlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
0,9
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
56%
89%
Both score Ø 67%
56%
78%
Average goals
2,6
3,6
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,4
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 4
6 Offside 3
20 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Westerlo 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 7 6 0 1 +11 18
2 Standard 10 4 4 2 +6 16
3 Kortrijk 10 4 3 3 +2 15
4 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +7 14
5 Gent 5 4 1 0 +7 13
6 Club Brugge 7 4 1 2 +5 13
7 Genk 9 4 1 4 -2 13
8 Mechelen 9 3 3 3 +1 12
9 Charleroi 5 3 2 0 +3 11
10 Lokeren 9 3 1 5 -4 10
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 3 0 6 -5 9
12 St Truiden 9 2 2 5 -3 8
13 Oostende 5 2 1 2 +0 7
14 Westerlo 9 2 1 6 -10 7
15 Eupen 9 2 1 6 -11 7
16 Beveren 9 1 3 5 -7 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Westerlo
20′
🟨 Michael Heylen
1–0 Ruben Fernandes
S. Peeters
27′
28′
🟨 Nicolas Rommens
41′
E. Acolatse 1–1
Stef Peeters 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ M. Manias
50′
🟨 Maxime Annys
Yohan Boli 🟨
52′
F. Tchenkoua 🔁
↦ Cristian Ceballos
60′
69′
S. Ganvoula 1–2
71′
🔁 Y. Buyens
↦ R. Henkens
Damien Dussaut 🟨
77′
P. Gerkens 🔁
↦ Jorge Pulido
78′
78′
🔁 K. Hyland
↦ E. Acolatse
P. Valdivia 🔁
↦ R. Bezus
80′
81′
🟨 Yoni Buyens
Ruben Fernandes 🟨
84′
2–2 Y. Boli
S. Peeters
87′
Steven De Petter 🟨
90′
Steven De Petter 🟨
90′
Steven De Petter 🟥
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
28 W. Dutoît G
26 Ruben Fernandes D
4 Jorge Pulido D
20 D. Dussaut D
3 D. Dakonam D
6 S. De Petter M
10 R. Bezus F
8 S. Peeters M
11 Y. Boli F
19 Cristian Ceballos M
37 J. Bamba F
Bench (7)
7 F. Tchenkoua
14 P. Gerkens
24 P. Valdivia
9 N. Proschwitz
21 L. Pirard
27 I. Swers
16 C. Cuevas

Coach: I. Leko

Westerlo

4-1-3-2
30 K. Van Langendonck G
3 F. Daems D
2 M. Apau D
16 J. Mustoe M
73 N. Miletić D
24 M. Heylen D
8 M. Annys M
6 R. Henkens M
28 N. Rommens M
33 M. Manias F
9 E. Acolatse F
Bench (7)
35 S. Ganvoula
29 Y. Buyens
11 K. Hyland
1 K. Van Hout
17 K. Schuermans
19 D. Christensen
23 J. Molenberghs

Coach: J. Mathijssen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.