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Eredivisie

Referee: Pol van Boekel

Sparta Rotterdam

T U S T U

2–2

Full-time

Willem II

U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

13%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

38%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 8. · Willem II 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	8	8	0	0	+21	24
2	Ajax	8	6	1	1	+12	19
3	PSV Eindhoven	8	5	2	1	+11	17
4	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Vitesse	8	4	1	3	+4	13
6	Twente	8	4	1	3	+2	13
7	AZ Alkmaar	7	3	3	1	+5	12
8	Sparta Rotterdam	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Den Haag	8	3	1	4	-4	10
10	Excelsior	8	3	1	4	-4	10
11	Nijmegen	8	2	3	3	-6	9
12	Go Ahead Eagles	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Heracles	8	1	4	3	-3	7
14	Groningen	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Willem II	8	1	3	4	-8	6
16	Utrecht	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Zwolle	8	1	2	5	-13	5
18	Roda	8	0	3	5	-12	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Ajax	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Twente	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	2	0	+4	8
5	Heerenveen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Go Ahead Eagles	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Excelsior	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Nijmegen	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Den Haag	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	PSV Eindhoven	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Heracles	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-8	4
15	Utrecht	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Willem II	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Groningen	4	0	2	2	-6	2
18	Roda	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+7	9
4	Heerenveen	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+2	6
6	Den Haag	5	2	0	3	-4	6
7	Groningen	4	1	1	2	+1	4
8	AZ Alkmaar	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Sparta Rotterdam	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Twente	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	Willem II	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nijmegen	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Excelsior	4	1	1	2	-5	4
14	Heracles	4	0	3	1	-2	3
15	Utrecht	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Roda	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Zwolle	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.