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La Liga

Referee: Daniel Ocon Arraiz

Leganes

T T S T S

2–3

Full-time

Sevilla

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leganes Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

43%

57%

Points per game

1,4

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

57%

Both score Ø 64%

57%

71%

Average goals

2,4

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,9

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

41% Possession 59%

19 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

2 Offside 5

17 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leganes 11. · Sevilla 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+12	15
2	Real Madrid	7	4	3	0	+9	15
3	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+3	14
4	Barcelona	7	4	1	2	+12	13
5	Villarreal	7	3	4	0	+5	13
6	Las Palmas	8	3	3	2	+3	12
7	Ath Bilbao	7	4	0	3	+2	12
8	Eibar	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Sociedad	7	3	1	3	+0	10
10	Celta	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Leganes	7	3	1	3	-3	10
12	Alaves	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	La Coruna	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Malaga	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Betis	7	2	2	3	-4	8
16	Espanol	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Sp Gijon	7	2	1	4	-10	7
18	Valencia	7	2	0	5	-5	6
19	Osasuna	7	0	3	4	-8	3
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Las Palmas	4	2	2	0	+5	8
3	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+6	7
5	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Eibar	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Malaga	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Ath Bilbao	3	2	0	1	+2	6
10	La Coruna	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Celta	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Sp Gijon	3	2	0	1	-3	6
13	Alaves	3	1	2	0	+2	5
14	Betis	3	1	2	0	+1	5
15	Barcelona	3	1	1	1	+3	4
16	Valencia	4	1	0	3	-4	3
17	Osasuna	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Espanol	4	0	2	2	-4	2
19	Granada	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Leganes	3	0	1	2	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	3	0	1	+9	9
2	Leganes	4	3	0	1	+2	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+6	8
4	Real Madrid	3	2	1	0	+5	7
5	Villarreal	4	1	3	0	+2	6
6	Ath Bilbao	4	2	0	2	+0	6
7	Espanol	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Celta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Alaves	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Eibar	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Las Palmas	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Valencia	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Sociedad	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Betis	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	La Coruna	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Osasuna	3	0	1	2	-5	1
19	Granada	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Sp Gijon	4	0	1	3	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.