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Bundesliga
Referee: Sascha Stegemann
Schalke 04
T T T T T
4–0
Full-time
M'gladbach
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 M'gladbach
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
40%
80%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
0,4
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,6
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
15 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · M'gladbach 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 1 0 +14 16
2 Hertha 6 4 1 1 +4 13
3 Dortmund 6 4 0 2 +10 12
4 FC Koln 6 3 3 0 +7 12
5 RB Leipzig 6 3 3 0 +6 12
6 M'gladbach 5 3 1 1 +4 10
7 Leverkusen 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Hoffenheim 6 2 4 0 +2 10
9 Ein Frankfurt 6 3 1 2 +2 10
10 Freiburg 6 3 0 3 -2 9
11 Mainz 6 2 2 2 +1 8
12 Augsburg 6 2 1 3 -3 7
13 Wolfsburg 6 1 3 2 -3 6
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -8 5
15 Werder Bremen 6 1 1 4 -10 4
16 FC Ingolstadt 04 6 0 1 5 -9 1
17 Hamburg 6 0 1 5 -10 1
18 Schalke 04 5 0 0 5 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 M'gladbach
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Stindl
↦ J. Vestergaard
1–0 E. Choupo-Moting
52′
2–0 B. Embolo
S. Kolašinac
56′
3–0 L. Goretzka
58′
67′
🔁 J. Korb
↦ M. Dahoud
F. Di Santo 🔁
↦ L. Goretzka
82′
82′
🔁 P. Herrmann
↦ F. Johnson
4–0 B. Embolo
N. Bentaleb
83′
A. Baba 🔁
↦ E. Choupo-Moting
86′
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
90′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
1 R. Fährmann G
29 Naldo D
4 B. Höwedes D
31 M. Nastasić D
6 S. Kolašinac D
5 J. Geis D
8 L. Goretzka M
10 N. Bentaleb M
21 A. Schöpf M
13 E. Choupo-Moting F
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (7)
9 F. Di Santo
14 A. Baba
7 M. Meyer
11 Y. Konoplyanka
17 B. Stambouli
27 S. Riether
35 A. Nübel

Coach: M. Weinzierl

M'gladbach

3-4-1-2
1 Y. Sommer G
24 T. Jantschke D
4 J. Vestergaard D
3 A. Christensen D
30 N. Elvedi D
16 I. Traoré M
19 F. Johnson M
28 A. Hahn F
6 C. Kramer M
10 T. Hazard M
8 M. Dahoud M
Bench (7)
13 L. Stindl
27 J. Korb
7 P. Herrmann
14 N. Schulz
17 O. Wendt
21 T. Sippel
23 J. Hofmann

Coach: A. Schubert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sascha Stegemann · 85 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.