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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Tromso
U U S U T
2–4
Full-time
Valerenga
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Valerenga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
73%
45%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tromso 11. · Valerenga 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
2 Brann 11 6 3 2 +14 21
3 Sarpsborg 08 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Stabaek 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Aalesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Molde 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Valerenga 11 4 2 5 -3 14
9 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
10 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -3 13
11 Tromso 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Sogndal 11 3 3 5 -2 12
13 Haugesund 11 3 3 5 -3 12
14 Kristiansund 11 3 3 5 -6 12
15 Lillestrom 11 3 2 6 -4 11
16 Viking 11 1 2 8 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tromso Valerenga
7′
J. Nation 0–1
M. Lekven
16′
G. Zahid 0–2
R. Lindkvist
18′
B. Finne 0–3
D. Holm
25′
M. Abdellaoue 0–4
G. Zahid
S. Wangberg 🔁
↦ H. Norbye
31′
34′
🟨 Robert Lundstrom
Half-time 0–4
52′
🟨 Magnus Lekven
60′
🔁 H. Stengel
↦ C. Grindheim
1–4 A. Sigurdarson
G. Åsen
62′
64′
🔁 E. Agyiri
↦ D. Holm
M. Andersen 🔁
↦ E. Samb
72′
2–4 M. Ingebrigtsen
A. Sigurdarson
75′
79′
🔁 H. Johansen
↦ M. Abdellaoue
Ulrik Jenssen 🟨
83′
87′
🟨 Ghayas Zahid
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Tromso

4-1-4-1
28 J. Karlstrom G
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
26 J. Gundersen D
7 Morten Pedersen M
6 C. Landu Landu M
17 A. Sigurdarson F
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
23 G. Åsen F
18 E. Samb F
Bench (7)
22 S. Wangberg
15 M. Andersen
1 G. Kongshavn
4 M. Dioury
11 J. Johansen
16 P. Kpozo
27 F. Michalsen

Coach: B. Flovik

Valerenga

4-2-3-1
1 M. Sandberg G
4 J. Nation D
5 R. Lundström D
2 M. Nakkim D
8 M. Lekven M
19 C. Grindheim F
7 D. Holm M
10 G. Zahid M
25 M. Abdellaoue F
9 R. Lindkvist M
11 B. Finne M
Bench (7)
14 H. Stengel
39 E. Agyiri
20 H. Johansen
6 A. Ibrahim
15 D. Berntsen
30 A. Falch
40 C. Ejuke

Coach: R. Deila

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.