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Eliteserien
Referee: Tom Harald Hagen
Stromsgodset
T U S T U
1–1
Full-time
Molde
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 35%
23%
46%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
38%
69%
Both score Ø 62%
69%
54%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
16 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
18 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 14. · Molde 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 14 8 4 2 +13 28
2 Brann 14 7 5 2 +19 26
3 Sarpsborg 08 14 7 4 3 +10 25
4 Aalesund 14 6 4 4 +6 22
5 Valerenga 14 6 3 5 +1 21
6 Odd 14 6 3 5 -4 21
7 Molde 13 6 2 5 +5 20
8 Haugesund 14 5 4 5 -1 19
9 Sandefjord 14 5 3 6 -5 18
10 Stabaek 14 5 3 6 -7 18
11 Lillestrom 14 5 2 7 -3 17
12 Sogndal 14 4 4 6 -4 16
13 Kristiansund 14 4 4 6 -4 16
14 Stromsgodset 13 3 5 5 -5 14
15 Tromso 14 3 5 6 -9 14
16 Viking 14 2 3 9 -12 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Molde
38′
B. Sigurðarson 0–1
Half-time 1–1
1–1 E. Andersen
Bassel Jradi
48′
56′
🟨 Stian Gregersen
Bassel Jradi 🟨
61′
Tokmac Chol Nguen 🟨
69′
71′
🔁 I. Ssewankambo
↦ B. Sigurðarson
K. Tokstad 🔁
↦ T. Nguen
74′
76′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ P. Strand
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
78′
M. Gjerstrøm 🔁
↦ Francisco Júnior
84′
86′
🔁 E. Håland
↦ F. Brustad
90′
🟨 Eirik Hestad
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

4-2-3-1
1 E. Pettersen G
4 K. Madsen D
25 S. Ringstad D
26 L. Vilsvik D
5 J. Glesnes D
6 H. Hauger M
23 E. Andersen M
93 T. Nguen M
19 Francisco Júnior M
8 Bassel Jradi M
10 Marcus Pedersen F
Bench (7)
11 K. Tokstad
21 M. Gjerstrøm
2 M. Hamoud
9 P. Engblom
12 R. Janukiewicz
28 M. Høibråten
33 M. Tagbajumi

Coach: T. Skullerud

Molde

3-4-3
1 A. Linde G
4 R. Gabrielsen D
22 C. Remmer D
16 E. Hussain M
8 B. Sarr D
19 E. Hestad M
17 F. Aursnes M
6 S. Gregersen D
14 P. Strand M
10 B. Sigurðarson F
33 F. Brustad F
Bench (7)
2 I. Ssewankambo
21 T. Svendsen
30 E. Håland
3 O. Rindarøy
5 J. Toivio
25 O. Karlsson
34 Neydson

Coach: O. Solskjær

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tom Harald Hagen · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.