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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Tromso

T S S S T

2–0

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

This season — Eliteserien · 13/12 matches

Win Ø 24%

31%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

62%

25%

Both score Ø 65%

62%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 24

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 12. · Sarpsborg 08 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	14	9	2	3	+20	29
2	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+12	26
3	Odd	12	8	1	3	+6	25
4	Brann	14	6	4	4	+2	22
5	Valerenga	13	6	3	4	+4	21
6	Rosenborg	14	6	3	5	-2	21
7	Viking	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Kristiansund	13	5	3	5	-1	18
9	Haugesund	13	4	4	5	+2	16
10	Lillestrom	13	4	3	6	-4	15
11	Ranheim	14	4	3	7	-5	15
12	Tromso	13	4	1	8	-11	13
13	Sarpsborg 08	12	2	6	4	-2	12
14	Mjondalen	13	2	6	5	-6	12
15	Stabaek	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Stromsgodset	13	2	4	7	-9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	7	6	1	0	+16	19
2	Odd	6	6	0	0	+8	18
3	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Rosenborg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
5	Valerenga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
6	Brann	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Viking	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Kristiansund	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Lillestrom	7	3	1	3	-1	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Stabaek	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Haugesund	7	1	4	2	-1	7
13	Mjondalen	7	1	4	2	-3	7
14	Stromsgodset	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ranheim	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Tromso	6	2	0	4	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	7	3	2	2	+1	11
2	Molde	7	3	1	3	+4	10
3	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+1	10
4	Haugesund	6	3	0	3	+3	9
5	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	-1	8
6	Ranheim	7	2	2	3	-1	8
7	Viking	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Kristiansund	8	2	2	4	-4	8
9	Odd	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Rosenborg	7	2	1	4	-6	7
11	Tromso	7	2	1	4	-8	7
12	Mjondalen	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	Lillestrom	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Sarpsborg 08	5	0	3	2	-2	3
15	Stromsgodset	7	0	3	4	-6	3
16	Stabaek	5	1	0	4	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.