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Eliteserien

Referee: Espen Eskas

Sarpsborg 08

S S S S T

2–3

Full-time

Tromso

T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,0

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

46%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

69%

Both score Ø 58%

62%

54%

Average goals

2,9

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

7 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 6. · Tromso 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	13	9	4	0	+15	31
2	Ranheim	13	8	2	3	+4	26
3	Rosenborg	13	7	3	3	+10	24
4	Haugesund	13	7	3	3	+6	24
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	+6	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	6	4	3	+8	22
7	Valerenga	13	6	4	3	+1	22
8	Tromso	13	6	2	5	+5	20
9	Kristiansund	13	5	4	4	+3	19
10	Odd	13	5	2	6	+3	17
11	Bodo/Glimt	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Stromsgodset	13	3	4	6	-3	13
13	Lillestrom	13	3	3	7	-7	12
14	Stabaek	14	2	5	7	-12	11
15	Start	13	2	2	9	-18	8
16	Sandefjord	13	1	2	10	-19	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Molde	8	6	0	2	+12	18
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+12	16
3	Ranheim	7	5	1	1	+8	16
4	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+9	14
5	Brann	6	4	2	0	+9	14
6	Odd	7	4	1	2	+9	13
7	Kristiansund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Rosenborg	6	3	2	1	+8	11
9	Valerenga	6	3	2	1	+0	11
10	Haugesund	6	3	1	2	+1	10
11	Stabaek	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Lillestrom	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Stromsgodset	6	2	2	2	+3	8
14	Bodo/Glimt	6	2	1	3	+1	7
15	Start	7	2	1	4	-6	7
16	Sandefjord	7	0	2	5	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brann	7	5	2	0	+6	17
2	Haugesund	7	4	2	1	+5	14
3	Rosenborg	7	4	1	2	+2	13
4	Valerenga	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Ranheim	6	3	1	2	-4	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	2	2	-1	8
7	Kristiansund	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Bodo/Glimt	7	1	3	3	-3	6
9	Stromsgodset	7	1	2	4	-6	5
10	Molde	6	1	2	3	-6	5
11	Odd	6	1	1	4	-6	4
12	Tromso	6	1	1	4	-7	4
13	Lillestrom	7	1	0	6	-8	3
14	Sandefjord	6	1	0	5	-13	3
15	Stabaek	8	0	2	6	-13	2
16	Start	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.