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Championship

Referee: Keith Stroud

Aston Villa

T T U T T

3–0

Full-time

Rotherham

U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Rotherham

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,8

This season — Championship · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

4,0

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 1

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aston Villa 21. · Rotherham 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
2	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Nott'm Forest	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	QPR	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ipswich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Bristol City	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Huddersfield	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Fulham	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Reading	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sheffield Weds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rotherham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Birmingham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Derby	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Blackburn	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
3	Cardiff	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Burton Albion	1	0	0	1	-1	0
6	Wigan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Brentford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Preston	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Barnsley	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Nott'm Forest	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Leeds	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.