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Eliteserien
Referee: Trond Ivar Dovle
Sarpsborg 08
T T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Sandefjord
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 25%
36%
14%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
46%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,9
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
6 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 7
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Sandefjord 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 18 6 4 +26 60
2 Brann 28 16 7 5 +15 55
3 Molde 28 16 5 7 +23 53
4 Haugesund 28 15 5 8 +12 50
5 Kristiansund 28 12 7 9 +5 43
6 Ranheim 28 12 6 10 -5 42
7 Odd 28 11 7 10 +5 40
8 Valerenga 28 10 8 10 -6 38
9 Sarpsborg 08 28 10 7 11 +5 37
10 Tromso 28 10 3 15 -6 33
11 Bodo/Glimt 28 6 12 10 -3 30
12 Stromsgodset 28 7 8 13 -2 29
13 Start 28 8 5 15 -21 29
14 Lillestrom 28 6 10 12 -12 28
15 Stabaek 28 5 10 13 -16 25
16 Sandefjord 28 4 10 14 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Sandefjord
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Mortensen
60′
Patrick Mortensen 🟨
64′
64′
🟨 Marc Vales
M. Agger 🔁
↦ J. Tveita
70′
72′
🔁 E. Mjelde
↦ Marc Vales
72′
🔁 G. Gibson
↦ E. Pálsson
Joakim Jørgensen 🟨
73′
74′
Enric Vallès 1–1
Jørgen Horn 🟨
77′
G. Vetti 🔁
↦ H. Singh
81′
Amin Askar 🟨
85′
K. Larsen 🔁
↦ M. Lund Nielsen
85′
90′
🔁 L. Grorud
↦ M. Høibråten
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
31 A. Falch G
3 J. Horn D
77 A. Askar D
11 J. Jørgensen D
16 J. Thomassen D
8 M. Lund Nielsen M
23 H. Singh M
7 O. Halvorsen M
22 J. Tveita D
10 T. Heintz M
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
18 M. Agger
15 G. Vetti
19 K. Larsen
6 J. Tamm
14 M. Usman
45 J. Larsen
78 A. Vasyutin

Coach: G. Bakke

Sandefjord

4-2-3-1
12 E. Johansen G
17 Marc Vales D
21 S. Ringstad D
13 M. Høibråten D
4 C. Reppesgård
5 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
7 E. Pálsson M
15 P. Engblom F
14 Rufo Herraiz F
10 Pau Morer M
Bench (7)
8 E. Mjelde
46 G. Gibson
2 L. Grorud
1 J. Storevik
3 S. Foss
18 W. Kurtović
19 V. Bindia

Coach: Martí Cifuentes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trond Ivar Dovle · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.