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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein-Erik Edvartsen
Sarpsborg 08
T S U U S
2–2
Full-time
Tromso
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
This season — Eliteserien · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
61%
Both score Ø 39%
32%
46%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 5. · Tromso 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 28 20 6 2 +41 66
2 Brann 28 14 6 8 +13 48
3 Odd 28 14 6 8 +9 48
4 Haugesund 28 12 8 8 +4 44
5 Sarpsborg 08 28 12 8 8 -1 44
6 Molde 28 12 6 10 +4 42
7 Stromsgodset 28 11 7 10 +2 40
8 Viking 28 11 7 10 -2 40
9 Aalesund 28 11 5 12 -7 38
10 Sogndal 28 8 12 8 +0 36
11 Valerenga 28 9 7 12 +0 34
12 Lillestrom 28 7 9 12 -6 30
13 Bodo/Glimt 28 8 6 14 -6 30
14 Tromso 28 8 6 14 -12 30
15 Stabaek 28 7 7 14 -7 28
16 Start 28 2 10 16 -32 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sarpsborg 08 Tromso
Henri Toivomäki 🟨
19′
25′
🟨 Henrik Gjesdal
31′
T. Olsen 0–1
42′
🟨 Mikael Ingebrigtsen
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Ulrik Jenssen
1–1 P. Mortensen
57′
2–1 S. Rosted
J. Thomassen
66′
P. Kirkevold 🔁
↦ P. Mortensen
69′
A. Groven 🔁
↦ H. Toivomaki
74′
74′
🔁 R. Espejord
↦ S. Moussa
79′
T. Olsen 2–2
G. Åsen
84′
🔁 C. Landu Landu
↦ T. Olsen
M. Sundli 🔁
↦ J. Lindberg
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sarpsborg 08

4-4-2
1 A. Østbø G
3 H. Toivomaki D
16 J. Thomassen D
20 A. Østli D
15 S. Rosted D
5 M. Lund Nielsen M
10 J. Lindberg F
17 S. Ernemann M
22 J. Tveita D
6 A. Trondsen M
69 P. Mortensen F
Bench (7)
7 P. Kirkevold
29 A. Groven
4 M. Sundli
13 O. Hansen
18 T. Hovda
21 A. Kristiansen
23 K. Hansen

Coach: G. Bakke

Tromso

4-4-2
12 F. Lončarić
14 H. Norbye D
5 M. Ødegaard D
22 S. Wangberg D
4 H. Gjesdal D
7 Morten Pedersen M
8 U. Jenssen D
24 M. Ingebrigtsen F
10 T. Olsen F
23 G. Åsen F
9 S. Moussa F
Bench (6)
30 R. Espejord
6 C. Landu Landu
1 G. Kongshavn
11 J. Johansen
15 M. Andersen
17 A. Sigurdarson

Coach: B. Flovik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Svein-Erik Edvartsen · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.