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Premier League
Referee: Mike Jones
Newcastle
T S T U S
0–3
Full-time
Leicester
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Leicester
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,8
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — Premier League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 38%
17%
58%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 67%
42%
92%
Average goals
2,9
3,8
Scored
1,1
2,1
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 17. · Leicester 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man United 13 8 3 2 +10 27
2 Man City 12 8 2 2 +17 26
3 Arsenal 12 8 2 2 +13 26
4 Leicester 12 7 4 1 +5 25
5 Tottenham 12 5 6 1 +10 21
6 West Ham 12 6 3 3 +7 21
7 Southampton 12 5 5 2 +6 20
8 Crystal Palace 12 6 1 5 +2 19
9 Everton 12 4 5 3 +4 17
10 Liverpool 12 4 5 3 -1 17
11 Watford 13 4 4 5 -2 16
12 Stoke 12 4 4 4 -2 16
13 West Brom 12 4 2 6 -6 14
14 Swansea 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 Norwich 12 3 3 6 -7 12
16 Chelsea 12 3 2 7 -7 11
17 Newcastle 12 2 4 6 -9 10
18 Bournemouth 12 2 2 8 -13 8
19 Sunderland 12 1 3 8 -13 6
20 Aston Villa 12 1 2 9 -10 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle Leicester
F. Thauvin 🔁
↦ C. Tioté
20′
31′
🟨 Robert Huth
Vurnon Anita 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
46′
J. Vardy 0–1
L. Ulloa
Paul Dummett 🟨
48′
P. Cissé 🔁
↦ A. Mitrović
62′
62′
L. Ulloa 0–2
R. Mahrez
73′
🔁 S. Okazaki
↦ L. Ulloa
Ayoze Pérez 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 A. King
↦ J. Vardy
Moussa Sissoko 🟨
79′
S. de Jong 🔁
↦ Ayoze Pérez
81′
83′
S. Okazaki 0–3
89′
🔁 N. Dyer
↦ R. Mahrez
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Newcastle

21 R. Elliot G
2 F. Coloccini D
22 D. Janmaat D
18 C. Mbemba D
3 P. Dummett D
5 G. Wijnaldum M
24 C. Tioté M
7 M. Sissoko M
8 V. Anita M
45 A. Mitrović F
17 Ayoze Pérez F
Bench (7)
20 F. Thauvin
9 P. Cissé
10 S. de Jong
41 F. Woodman
42 J. Sterry
11 Y. Gouffran
15 J. Lascelles

Leicester

1 K. Schmeichel G
6 R. Huth D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
11 M. Albrighton M
4 D. Drinkwater M
14 N. Kanté M
23 L. Ulloa F
26 R. Mahrez M
9 J. Vardy F
Bench (7)
20 S. Okazaki
10 A. King
24 N. Dyer
33 G. İnler
2 R. De Laet
32 M. Schwarzer
15 J. Schlupp

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Jones · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.