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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Troyes

T T T T T

1–1

Full-time

Lille

S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,3

0,8

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 8%

15%

Points per game

0,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 23%

38%

Both score Ø 31%

31%

Average goals

2,4

1,2

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,9

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

10 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 12

3 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Troyes 20. · Lille 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	2	0	+26	38
2	Lyon	14	7	4	3	+9	25
3	Nice	14	7	3	4	+13	24
4	Caen	13	8	0	5	+0	24
5	Angers	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	St Etienne	13	7	1	5	+0	22
7	Lorient	14	5	5	4	+3	20
8	Rennes	13	5	5	3	+3	20
9	Monaco	13	5	5	3	-1	20
10	Nantes	13	6	1	6	-2	19
11	Bordeaux	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Guingamp	13	4	4	5	-4	16
13	Marseille	13	4	3	6	+4	15
14	Reims	13	4	3	6	-2	15
15	Bastia	13	4	2	7	-5	14
16	Lille	13	2	7	4	-1	13
17	Montpellier	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	13	3	3	7	-6	12
19	Toulouse	13	1	6	6	-14	9
20	Troyes	13	0	4	9	-19	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Caen	7	5	0	2	+0	15
3	Lyon	7	4	2	1	+8	14
4	Lorient	8	4	2	2	+6	14
5	Bordeaux	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	St Etienne	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Bastia	6	4	0	2	+4	12
8	Nice	7	3	1	3	+6	10
9	Reims	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Angers	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Guingamp	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Montpellier	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Nantes	6	3	0	3	-1	9
14	Marseille	7	2	2	3	+6	8
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	6	2	2	2	+1	8
16	Lille	7	2	2	3	+0	8
17	Rennes	6	2	2	2	-1	8
18	Toulouse	6	1	4	1	+0	7
19	Monaco	6	1	3	2	-3	6
20	Troyes	7	0	3	4	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+12	22
2	Nice	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Monaco	7	4	2	1	+2	14
4	Rennes	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Angers	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Nantes	7	3	1	3	-1	10
8	Caen	6	3	0	3	+0	9
9	St Etienne	7	3	0	4	-5	9
10	Marseille	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Guingamp	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Lorient	6	1	3	2	-3	6
13	Lille	6	0	5	1	-1	5
14	Reims	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Gazelec FC Ajaccio	7	1	1	5	-7	4
16	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-4	3
17	Bordeaux	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Bastia	7	0	2	5	-9	2
19	Toulouse	7	0	2	5	-14	2
20	Troyes	6	0	1	5	-14	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.