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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Juventus

U S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Milan

U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juventus Milan

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

This season — Serie A · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 46%

42%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,6

Scored

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Juventus 7. · Milan 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	12	9	0	3	+15	27
2	Roma	13	8	3	2	+14	27
3	Inter	12	8	3	1	+5	27
4	Napoli	12	7	4	1	+14	25
5	Sassuolo	12	6	4	2	+4	22
6	Milan	12	6	2	4	-1	20
7	Juventus	12	5	3	4	+5	18
8	Atalanta	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Lazio	12	6	0	6	-4	18
10	Sampdoria	12	4	4	4	+2	16
11	Torino	12	4	3	5	-1	15
12	Palermo	12	4	2	6	-4	14
13	Empoli	12	4	2	6	-5	14
14	Chievo	12	3	4	5	+2	13
15	Bologna	13	4	1	8	-4	13
16	Genoa	12	3	4	5	-4	13
17	Udinese	12	3	3	6	-5	12
18	Frosinone	12	3	2	7	-7	11
19	Verona	12	0	6	6	-11	6
20	Carpi	12	1	3	8	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Napoli	6	5	1	0	+10	16
3	Fiorentina	6	5	0	1	+10	15
4	Lazio	6	5	0	1	+8	15
5	Sampdoria	7	4	2	1	+7	14
6	Sassuolo	6	4	2	0	+4	14
7	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
8	Inter	6	4	1	1	+1	13
9	Milan	6	4	1	1	+0	13
10	Torino	6	3	2	1	+4	11
11	Juventus	6	3	2	1	+4	11
12	Frosinone	6	3	1	2	+2	10
13	Genoa	5	3	1	1	+2	10
14	Chievo	6	2	2	2	+3	8
15	Palermo	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Bologna	7	2	1	4	+0	7
17	Empoli	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Udinese	6	1	2	3	-2	5
19	Carpi	6	1	2	3	-2	5
20	Verona	6	0	3	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	6	4	2	0	+4	14
2	Fiorentina	6	4	0	2	+5	12
3	Roma	7	3	2	2	+3	11
4	Napoli	6	2	3	1	+4	9
5	Sassuolo	6	2	2	2	+0	8
6	Juventus	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Milan	6	2	1	3	-1	7
8	Empoli	6	2	1	3	-3	7
9	Udinese	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	Palermo	5	2	0	3	-2	6
11	Bologna	6	2	0	4	-4	6
12	Chievo	6	1	2	3	-1	5
13	Atalanta	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Torino	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Genoa	7	0	3	4	-6	3
16	Verona	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Lazio	6	1	0	5	-12	3
18	Sampdoria	5	0	2	3	-5	2
19	Frosinone	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Carpi	6	0	1	5	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.