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La Liga
Referee: Pedro Jesus Perez Montero
Valencia
T S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Las Palmas
T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Las Palmas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
2,3
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
45%
18%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
45%
36%
Both score Ø 32%
36%
27%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 7
5 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valencia 7. · Las Palmas 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 12 10 0 2 +17 30
2 Real Madrid 12 7 3 2 +15 24
3 Ath Madrid 11 7 2 2 +10 23
4 Celta 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Villarreal 11 6 2 3 +4 20
6 Eibar 11 5 4 2 +5 19
7 Valencia 11 5 3 3 +8 18
8 Ath Bilbao 11 5 2 4 +4 17
9 Espanol 12 5 1 6 -9 16
10 La Coruna 11 3 6 2 +3 15
11 Sevilla 12 4 3 5 -1 15
12 Betis 11 4 3 4 -5 15
13 Vallecano 11 4 1 6 -6 13
14 Sociedad 12 3 3 6 +0 12
15 Sp Gijon 11 3 3 5 -4 12
16 Getafe 11 3 1 7 -7 10
17 Malaga 12 2 3 7 -6 9
18 Las Palmas 11 2 3 6 -7 9
19 Granada 11 1 4 6 -9 7
20 Levante 11 1 4 6 -16 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valencia Las Palmas
1–0 Paco Alcácer
André Gomes
8′
16′
🟨 Momo
Shkodran Mustafi 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–0
E. Pérez 🔁
↦ Javi Fuego
53′
João Cancelo 🟨
56′
57′
Jonathan Viera 1–1
Tana
Enzo Pérez 🟨
65′
Z. Bakkali 🔁
↦ S. Feghouli
65′
Rúben Vezo 🔁
↦ S. Mustafi
72′
76′
🔁 N. El Zhar
↦ Momo
78′
🔁 Hernán
↦ Roque Mesa
81′
🟨 Nabil El Zhar
89′
🟨 David Simón
89′
🔁 E. Culio
↦ Tana
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Valencia

24 Jaume Doménech G
23 A. Abdennour D
5 S. Mustafi D
2 João Cancelo D
14 José Gayá D
18 Javi Fuego M
8 S. Feghouli M
10 Dani Parejo M
21 André Gomes M
9 Paco Alcácer F
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (7)
15 E. Pérez
16 Z. Bakkali
3 Rúben Vezo
12 Danilo Barbosa
37 Rafa Mir
20 R. de Paul
25 M. Ryan

Las Palmas

13 Javi Varas
16 Aythami Artiles
23 Dani Castellano D
17 Pedro Bigas D
2 David Simón D
11 Momo M
4 Vicente Gómez M
15 Roque Mesa M
10 S. Araújo M
20 Jonathan Viera M
24 Tana M
Bench (7)
25 N. El Zhar
14 Hernán
19 E. Culio
1 Raúl Lizoáin
21 Valerón
9 Asdrúbal
5 David García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pedro Jesus Perez Montero · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
1,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.