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Pro League
1–3
Full-time
Genk
T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
This season — Pro League · 15/9 matches
Win Ø 38%
20%
56%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
47%
67%
Both score Ø 52%
47%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 14. · Genk 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Oostende 10 7 3 0 +14 24
2 Gent 11 7 3 1 +13 24
3 Club Brugge 10 7 1 2 +17 22
4 Anderlecht 10 6 3 1 +9 21
5 St Truiden 12 6 1 5 +1 19
6 Waregem 10 5 2 3 +5 17
7 Charleroi 10 4 4 2 +4 16
8 Genk 9 5 0 4 -1 15
9 Royal Excel Mouscron 12 3 4 5 -2 13
10 Beveren 12 4 1 7 -9 13
11 Standard 12 4 1 7 -11 13
12 Kortrijk 11 2 6 3 -1 12
13 Mechelen 12 3 3 6 -5 12
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15 3 3 9 -12 12
15 Westerlo 16 2 6 8 -16 12
16 Lokeren 12 3 1 8 -6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Genk
13′
N. Kebano 0–1
25′
L. Bailey 0–2
A. Cerigioni 🔁
↦ S. Asamoah
35′
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 I. de Camargo
↦ E. Ünal
51′
I. de Camargo 0–3
N. Kebano
J. Bostock 🔁
↦ K. Houdret
59′
J. Kostovski 🔁
↦ D. Sula
59′
1–3 A. Cerigioni
P. Monteyne
63′
74′
🔁 T. Buffel
↦ L. Bailey
82′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ N. Kebano
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
5 P. Ngawa
16 K. Rougkalas
8 F. Le Postollec
12 K. Houdret
7 J. Remacle
19 L. Trossard
22 S. Asamoah
20 D. Sula
Bench (7)
11 A. Cerigioni
15 J. Bostock
23 J. Kostovski
1 Y. Lenaerts
3 D. Vandenbroeck
14 T. Azevedo
24 K. Tapoko

Genk

26 L. Köteles
3 K. Tshimanga
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
71 Y. Buyens
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
9 E. Ünal
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
11 I. de Camargo
19 T. Buffel
18 S. Schrijvers
1 M. Bizot
7 T. Okriashvili
39 P. Gerkens
41 T. Castagne

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.