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Premier League
Referee: Mike Dean
Leicester
S U T S U
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Crystal Palace
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Premier League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
44%
56%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
78%
56%
Both score Ø 78%
100%
56%
Average goals
4,0
2,4
Scored
2,1
1,3
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leicester 5. · Crystal Palace 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 9 7 0 2 +16 21
2 Arsenal 9 6 1 2 +9 19
3 Man United 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 West Ham 9 5 2 2 +8 17
5 Leicester 9 4 4 1 +2 16
6 Crystal Palace 9 5 0 4 +2 15
7 Tottenham 9 3 5 1 +4 14
8 Southampton 9 3 4 2 +3 13
9 Everton 9 3 4 2 +1 13
10 Liverpool 9 3 4 2 -2 13
11 Stoke 9 3 3 3 -1 12
12 Chelsea 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 West Brom 9 3 2 4 -4 11
14 Swansea 9 2 4 3 -1 10
15 Watford 9 2 4 3 -4 10
16 Norwich 9 2 3 4 -6 9
17 Bournemouth 9 2 2 5 -6 8
18 Newcastle 9 1 3 5 -7 6
19 Aston Villa 9 1 1 7 -7 4
20 Sunderland 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leicester Crystal Palace
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 P. Bamford
↦ F. Campbell
1–0 J. Vardy
R. Mahrez
59′
S. Okazaki 🔁
↦ M. Albrighton
63′
Danny Simpson 🟨
65′
Jeffrey Schlupp 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 W. Zaha
↦ J. Puncheon
76′
🔁 M. Jedinak
↦ A. Mariappa
N. Dyer 🔁
↦ R. Mahrez
79′
87′
🟨 Wilfried Zaha
Jamie Vardy 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Leicester

1 K. Schmeichel G
6 R. Huth D
28 C. Fuchs D
17 D. Simpson D
5 W. Morgan D
11 M. Albrighton M
4 D. Drinkwater M
14 N. Kanté M
26 R. Mahrez F
9 J. Vardy F
15 J. Schlupp M
Bench (7)
20 S. Okazaki
24 N. Dyer
2 R. De Laet
10 A. King
19 A. Kramarić
32 M. Schwarzer
33 G. İnler

Crystal Palace

13 W. Hennessey G
3 A. Mariappa D
4 B. Hangeland D
6 S. Dann D
34 M. Kelly D
7 Y. Cabaye M
26 B. Sako M
42 J. Puncheon M
18 J. McArthur M
10 Y. Bolasie M
9 F. Campbell F
Bench (7)
8 P. Bamford
11 W. Zaha
15 M. Jedinak
1 J. Speroni
22 J. Mutch
27 D. Delaney
28 J. Ledley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Mike Dean · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.