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Championship
Referee: Paul Tierney
Bristol City
T U T S U
1–1
Full-time
Hull
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bristol City Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,0
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
19%
63%
Points per game
0,9
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
44%
25%
Both score Ø 47%
56%
38%
Average goals
2,7
2,1
Scored
1,1
1,6
Conceded
1,6
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 18
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 12
0 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bristol City 20. · Hull 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hull 16 10 4 2 +18 34
2 Middlesbrough 17 10 3 4 +13 33
3 Brighton 15 9 6 0 +9 33
4 Burnley 16 9 5 2 +9 32
5 Derby 16 8 6 2 +11 30
6 Birmingham 16 8 4 4 +7 28
7 Cardiff 16 6 7 3 +5 25
8 Reading 16 6 6 4 +6 24
9 Ipswich 16 6 6 4 +0 24
10 Sheffield Weds 15 6 5 4 +1 23
11 Brentford 16 6 3 7 -2 21
12 Fulham 16 5 5 6 +1 20
13 QPR 17 5 5 7 -3 20
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 -1 19
15 Leeds 16 4 7 5 -3 19
16 Blackburn 16 3 8 5 +0 17
17 Preston 16 3 8 5 -2 17
18 Nott'm Forest 16 4 5 7 -4 17
19 Huddersfield 16 3 6 7 -7 15
20 Bristol City 16 3 6 7 -9 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 -9 14
22 Charlton 16 3 4 9 -12 13
23 Bolton 16 1 8 7 -12 11
24 Rotherham 16 2 3 11 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bristol City Hull
13′
🟨 Harry Maguire
22′
🟨 Tom Huddlestone
35′
🟨 Michael Dawson
37′
🔁 C. Davies
↦ M. Dawson
38′
🟨 Andrew Robertson
1–0 K. Agard
39′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 S. Maloney
↦ C. Akpom
Elliott Bennett 🟨
68′
73′
S. Maloney 1–1
M. Diamé
A. Wilbraham 🔁
↦ J. Kodjia
78′
M. Little 🔁
↦ E. Bennett
82′
83′
🔁 S. Aluko
↦ M. Odubajo
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bristol City

1 F. Fielding G
4 A. Flint D
17 N. Baker D
5 L. Ayling D
3 D. Williams D
7 K. Smith M
13 E. Bennett M
21 M. Pack M
22 J. Kodjia F
10 K. Agard F
15 L. Freeman M
Bench (7)
18 A. Wilbraham
2 M. Little
9 S. Cox
14 B. Reid
16 L. Moore
23 J. Bryan
24 M. O’Leary

Hull

1 A. McGregor G
21 M. Dawson D
26 A. Robertson D
8 T. Huddlestone M
27 Ahmed El Mohamady D
14 J. Livermore M
17 M. Diamé M
11 S. Clucas M
2 M. Odubajo D
12 H. Maguire D
19 C. Akpom F
Bench (7)
6 C. Davies
15 S. Maloney
24 S. Aluko
4 A. Bruce
5 R. Taylor
16 E. Jakupovic
20 I. Hayden

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paul Tierney · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.