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Championship
Referee: Gavin Ward
Ipswich
T U U S S
2–2
Full-time
Wolves
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ipswich Wolves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
0 Free kicks against 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ipswich 9. · Wolves 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hull 17 10 5 2 +18 35
2 Middlesbrough 17 10 3 4 +13 33
3 Brighton 15 9 6 0 +9 33
4 Burnley 16 9 5 2 +9 32
5 Derby 16 8 6 2 +11 30
6 Birmingham 16 8 4 4 +7 28
7 Cardiff 16 6 7 3 +5 25
8 Reading 16 6 6 4 +6 24
9 Ipswich 16 6 6 4 +0 24
10 Sheffield Weds 15 6 5 4 +1 23
11 Brentford 16 6 3 7 -2 21
12 Fulham 16 5 5 6 +1 20
13 QPR 17 5 5 7 -3 20
14 Wolves 16 5 4 7 -1 19
15 Leeds 16 4 7 5 -3 19
16 Blackburn 16 3 8 5 +0 17
17 Preston 16 3 8 5 -2 17
18 Nott'm Forest 16 4 5 7 -4 17
19 Bristol City 17 3 7 7 -9 16
20 Huddersfield 16 3 6 7 -7 15
21 Milton Keynes Dons 16 4 2 10 -9 14
22 Charlton 16 3 4 9 -12 13
23 Bolton 16 1 8 7 -12 11
24 Rotherham 16 2 3 11 -16 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ipswich Wolves
11′
🟨 James Henry
1–0 J. Douglas
J. Knudsen
16′
38′
J. Henry 1–1
M. Williamson
Half-time 2–1
2–1 D. Murphy
B. Pitman
54′
65′
🔁 A. Le Fondre
↦ D. Edwards
A. Maitland-Niles 🔁
↦ K. Bru
69′
75′
B. Afobe 2–2
A. Le Fondre
77′
🔁 S. Ojo
↦ J. Graham
Luke Chambers 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Adam Le Fondre
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Ipswich

1 D. Gerken G
6 C. Berra D
4 L. Chambers D
5 T. Smith D
3 J. Knudsen D
22 J. Douglas M
17 K. Bru M
8 C. Skuse M
9 D. Murphy F
20 F. Sears F
11 B. Pitman F
Bench (7)
7 A. Maitland-Niles
2 J. Parr
15 T. Oar
16 G. Coke
21 P. Malarczyk
33 B. Bialkowski
39 L. Touré

Wolves

1 C. Ikeme G
3 S. Golbourne D
5 M. Williamson D
6 D. Batth D
18 D. Iorfa D
7 J. Henry M
4 D. Edwards M
11 K. McDonald M
24 J. Graham F
19 J. Price M
10 B. Afobe F
Bench (7)
29 A. Le Fondre
20 S. Ojo
2 M. Doherty
16 C. Coady
25 N. Byrne
27 G. Holt
31 J. Flatt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Gavin Ward · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.