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Eredivisie

Referee: Allard Lindhout

AZ Alkmaar

S U T T S

3–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

3,3

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 29%

33%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

58%

42%

Both score Ø 63%

58%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

53% Possession 47%

14 Shots 15

8 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 9

4 Offside 0

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 9. · Heerenveen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	12	9	2	1	+25	29
2	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+18	27
3	Feyenoord	12	8	2	2	+11	26
4	Heracles	12	8	1	3	+10	25
5	Vitesse	12	6	2	4	+14	20
6	Nijmegen	12	6	2	4	+4	20
7	Zwolle	11	5	3	3	+1	18
8	Groningen	12	5	3	4	-2	18
9	AZ Alkmaar	12	4	3	5	-2	15
10	Excelsior	12	4	3	5	-5	15
11	Heerenveen	12	3	5	4	-2	14
12	Roda	12	3	5	4	-7	14
13	Utrecht	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Den Haag	12	2	6	4	-5	12
15	Twente	12	2	3	7	-13	9
16	Willem II	12	1	4	7	-7	7
17	Cambuur	12	0	7	5	-18	7
18	De Graafschap	12	0	2	10	-21	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Groningen	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Feyenoord	6	5	1	0	+8	16
3	Heracles	6	5	0	1	+7	15
4	PSV Eindhoven	5	4	1	0	+7	13
5	Nijmegen	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+14	12
7	Vitesse	6	4	0	2	+10	12
8	Utrecht	6	3	3	0	+5	12
9	Zwolle	6	3	2	1	+1	11
10	Roda	7	2	4	1	+2	10
11	Heerenveen	6	2	3	1	+1	9
12	Den Haag	6	1	4	1	+0	7
13	Excelsior	5	2	1	2	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	1	3	-2	7
15	Twente	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Willem II	6	1	2	3	-1	5
17	Cambuur	7	0	4	3	-13	4
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	4	2	1	+11	14
3	Heracles	6	3	1	2	+3	10
4	Feyenoord	6	3	1	2	+3	10
5	Vitesse	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Excelsior	7	2	2	3	-4	8
8	Zwolle	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	-2	7
10	Heerenveen	6	1	2	3	-3	5
11	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Roda	5	1	1	3	-9	4
13	Cambuur	5	0	3	2	-5	3
14	Willem II	6	0	2	4	-6	2
15	Twente	6	0	2	4	-7	2
16	Groningen	6	0	2	4	-11	2
17	Utrecht	5	0	1	4	-6	1
18	De Graafschap	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.