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Eliteserien
Referee: Rohit Saggi
Lillestrom
T U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Ranheim
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Ranheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Eliteserien · 5/4 matches
Win Ø 48%
20%
75%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 78%
80%
75%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Ranheim 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Brann 5 4 1 0 +7 13
2 Molde 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Ranheim 4 3 0 1 +2 9
4 Valerenga 5 3 0 2 +1 9
5 Stromsgodset 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Rosenborg 5 2 2 1 +4 8
7 Sarpsborg 08 5 2 2 1 +3 8
8 Tromso 5 2 1 2 +2 7
9 Haugesund 5 2 1 2 +1 7
10 Kristiansund 5 1 2 2 -1 5
11 Sandefjord 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Lillestrom 5 1 1 3 -3 4
13 Odd 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 Bodo/Glimt 5 1 0 4 -5 3
15 Start 4 1 0 3 -6 3
16 Stabaek 5 0 3 2 -6 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Ranheim
25′
🟨 Daniel Kvande
31′
🟨 Kristoffer Lokberg
M. Amundsen 🔁
↦ S. Antonijevic
34′
Marius Amundsen 🟨
41′
Thomas Lehne Olsen 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
60′
🟨 Oyvind Alseth
E. Brenden 🔁
↦ A. Melgalvis
61′
62′
M. Reginiussen 0–1
64′
🔁 S. Solli
↦ M. Karlsen
G. Martin 🔁
↦ S. Mikalsen
78′
86′
🔁 I. Furu
↦ A. Helmersen
89′
🔁 S. Sandmæl
↦ E. Dønnem
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
1 M. Marić G
13 F. Kippe D
3 S. Mikalsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
22 S. Antonijevic D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (7)
4 M. Amundsen
15 E. Brenden
9 G. Martin
7 M. Ebiye
17 K. Ødemarksbakken
8 C. Ezeh
40 M. Christiansen

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Ranheim

4-3-3
1 E. Barli G
24 A. Foosnæs D
15 E. Tønne F
3 D. Kvande D
5 Ø. Alseth D
2 C. Rismark D
7 M. Reginiussen M
16 K. Løkberg M
11 E. Dønnem M
9 M. Karlsen F
27 A. Helmersen F
Bench (5)
22 S. Solli
18 I. Furu
8 S. Sandmæl
17 S. Sørløkk
12 M. Lenes

Coach: S. Maalen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Rohit Saggi · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.