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OBOS-ligaen
Referee: C Moen
Strommen
T S T S S
1–4
Full-time
Lillestrom
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Strommen Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,5
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
81%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Strommen 10. · Lillestrom 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Tromso 16 11 2 3 +16 35
2 Ranheim 15 10 0 5 +21 30
3 Sogndal 15 9 3 3 +15 30
4 Lillestrom 16 8 5 3 +8 29
5 Asane 16 8 4 4 +12 28
6 Sandnes ULF 16 7 3 6 -8 24
7 Stjørdals-Blink 16 6 4 6 +0 22
8 Raufoss 16 5 6 5 +3 21
9 Grorud 16 5 6 5 +1 21
10 Strommen 16 6 2 8 -5 20
11 KFUM Oslo 16 4 5 7 -5 17
12 Ull/Kisa 16 4 5 7 -6 17
13 Jerv 15 3 6 6 -12 15
14 Øygarden 16 3 5 8 -15 14
15 Kongsvinger 16 3 4 9 -13 13
16 Ham-Kam 15 2 4 9 -12 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Aug -20 Lillestrom – Strommen 1–0

Match report

Strommen Lillestrom
M. Tvedte 🔁
↦ K. Jahr
22′
25′
🟨 T. Kallevag
H. Kurucay 🟨
31′
M. Olsen 🟥
39′
40′
F. Krogstad 0–1
43′
🟨 A. Melgalvis
Half-time 0–2
48′
E. Garnås 0–2
64′
🔁 L. Ranger
↦ A. Melgalvis
64′
🔁 T. Svendsen
↦ T. Kallevåg
B. Sandmoen 🔁
↦ M. Kaland
66′
L. Nordås 🔁
↦ K. Sellin
66′
74′
T. Svendsen 0–3
78′
🔁 M. Knudsen
↦ K. Kairinen
78′
🔁 P. Slørdahl
↦ M. Amundsen
81′
T. Olsen 0–4
M. Achrifi 🔁
↦ T. Naustdal
83′
P. Andresen 🔁
↦ H. Kuruçay
83′
83′
🔁 E. Smidesang Edh
↦ D. Gustafsson
L. Nordas 🟨
85′
1–4 M. Tvedte
90′
M. Tvedte 🟨
93′
93′
🟨 M. Knudsen
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Strommen

1 S. Lillevik
4 K. Jahr
5 S. Bjørkkjær
58 H. Kuruçay
3 M. Olsen
22 M. Sjølstad
20 M. Kaland
11 M. Bjørlo
6 T. Naustdal
19 K. Sellin
15 Y. Chaib
Bench (9)
2 M. Tvedte
16 B. Sandmoen
18 L. Nordås
10 M. Achrifi
23 P. Andresen
9 W. Pozo-Venta
14 H. Thun
17 T. George
31 C. Buhake

Coach: O. Nesselquist

Lillestrom

12 M. Christiansen
5 S. Rafn
23 M. Amundsen
4 E. Garnås
33 A. Melgalvis
7 T. Kallevåg
6 K. Kairinen
14 F. Krogstad
8 I. Mathew
90 D. Gustafsson
10 T. Olsen
Bench (6)
26 L. Ranger
11 T. Svendsen
21 M. Knudsen
22 P. Slørdahl
35 E. Smidesang Edh
25 J. Coppens

Coach: G. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Moen · 78 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.