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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen

Rosenborg

U S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Valerenga

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Valerenga

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 54%

76%

32%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

48%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

52%

44%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,3

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 1. · Valerenga 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	25	19	5	1	+40	62
2	Brann	26	13	6	7	+13	45
3	Odd	25	12	6	7	+8	42
4	Haugesund	26	11	8	7	+4	41
5	Sarpsborg 08	26	11	7	8	-2	40
6	Molde	25	11	5	9	+3	38
7	Stromsgodset	26	10	6	10	+1	36
8	Viking	25	10	6	9	-3	36
9	Sogndal	26	8	11	7	+1	35
10	Valerenga	25	8	6	11	-1	30
11	Bodo/Glimt	26	8	6	12	-4	30
12	Tromso	25	8	6	11	-6	30
13	Aalesund	25	8	5	12	-10	29
14	Stabaek	26	7	6	13	-6	27
15	Lillestrom	26	6	8	12	-7	26
16	Start	25	1	9	15	-31	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	12	12	0	0	+29	36
2	Brann	12	9	3	0	+17	30
3	Stromsgodset	13	8	4	1	+13	28
4	Haugesund	13	7	5	1	+12	26
5	Molde	13	7	3	3	+10	24
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	7	3	3	+8	24
7	Odd	13	6	3	4	+5	21
8	Sogndal	13	4	7	2	+4	19
9	Valerenga	13	5	3	5	+6	18
10	Tromso	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Bodo/Glimt	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Aalesund	12	4	4	4	+4	16
13	Viking	12	4	4	4	+0	16
14	Lillestrom	13	4	3	6	+1	15
15	Stabaek	13	4	1	8	-5	13
16	Start	13	1	4	8	-19	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rosenborg	13	7	5	1	+11	26
2	Odd	12	6	3	3	+3	21
3	Viking	13	6	2	5	-3	20
4	Sogndal	13	4	4	5	-3	16
5	Sarpsborg 08	13	4	4	5	-10	16
6	Brann	14	4	3	7	-4	15
7	Haugesund	13	4	3	6	-8	15
8	Stabaek	13	3	5	5	-1	14
9	Molde	12	4	2	6	-7	14
10	Aalesund	13	4	1	8	-14	13
11	Bodo/Glimt	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Valerenga	12	3	3	6	-7	12
13	Tromso	13	3	3	7	-9	12
14	Lillestrom	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Stromsgodset	13	2	2	9	-12	8
16	Start	12	0	5	7	-12	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.