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Eliteserien
Referee: Martin Lundby
Sogndal
U S S T U
3–2
Full-time
Sandefjord
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sogndal Sandefjord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 32%
27%
36%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 41%
55%
27%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

58% Possession 42%
21 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
10 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sogndal 13. · Sandefjord 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 11 6 4 1 +9 22
2 Brann 11 6 3 2 +14 21
3 Sarpsborg 08 11 6 3 2 +10 21
4 Odd 11 6 1 4 +0 19
5 Aalesund 11 5 3 3 +3 18
6 Stabaek 12 5 3 4 +1 18
7 Molde 11 5 2 4 +3 17
8 Valerenga 12 5 2 5 -1 17
9 Lillestrom 12 4 2 6 -2 14
10 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -5 14
11 Stromsgodset 11 3 4 4 -3 13
12 Tromso 12 3 4 5 -6 13
13 Sogndal 11 3 3 5 -2 12
14 Haugesund 11 3 3 5 -3 12
15 Kristiansund 11 3 3 5 -6 12
16 Viking 11 1 2 8 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sogndal Sandefjord
15′
K. Wæhler 1–0
own goal
2–0 M. Ramsland
16′
Kristinn Jonsson 🟨
26′
31′
🟨 Enric Valles
39′
A. Sødlund 2–1
Eirik Birkelund 🟨
42′
45′
🟥 Christer Hansen
Half-time 3–1
3–1 G. Koomson
48′
E. Skaasheim 🔁
↦ K. Jónsson
61′
67′
🔁 W. Kurtovic
↦ Pau Morer
77′
🔁 E. Kebbie
↦ V. Bindia
B. Bye 🔁
↦ U. Fredriksen
79′
86′
🔁 E. Mjelde
↦ F. Kastrati
E. Lund 🔁
↦ E. Schulze
91′
4–1 B. Bye
96′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Sogndal

3-4-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
41 K. Wæhler D
30 K. Jónsson D
2 T. Teniste D
15 P. Steiring D
31 U. Fredriksen D
27 E. Birkelund M
7 E. Schulze F
10 G. Koomson F
4 C. Nwakali M
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
24 E. Skaasheim
18 B. Bye
37 E. Lund
8 F. Flo
13 T. Omenås
28 J. Hove
34 S. Brekkhus

Coach: E. Bakke

Sandefjord

3-4-3
1 I. Jónsson G
17 J. Solberg M
19 V. Bindia D
4 C. Reppesgård
3 A. Seck D
16 E. Kane D
15 Enric Vallès M
9 H. Storbæk M
22 A. Sødlund M
6 Pau Morer M
11 F. Kastrati F
Bench (7)
18 W. Kurtovic
14 E. Kebbie
8 E. Mjelde
12 Ø. Øvretveit
20 K. Jablinski
21 H. Lorentzen
25 S. Shamohammad

Coach: L. Bohinen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Lundby · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.