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Eliteserien
Referee: Trygve Kjensli
Kristiansund
S S S T U
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 21
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kristiansund 11. · Lillestrom 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Molde 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Valerenga 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Sarpsborg 08 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Start 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Brann 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Bodo/Glimt 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Haugesund 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Stabaek 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Rosenborg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
11 Kristiansund 2 0 1 1 -1 1
12 Lillestrom 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Odd 2 0 0 2 -2 0
14 Tromso 1 0 0 1 -3 0
15 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Lillestrom
17′
🟨 Marius Amundsen
20′
E. Knudtzon 0–1
S. Rafn
Half-time 1–1
1–1 S. Aasmundsen
51′
2–1 T. Gjertsen
65′
70′
🟨 Simen Rafn
74′
🔁 E. Brenden
↦ K. Ødemarksbakken
74′
🔁 C. Ezeh
↦ F. Krogstad
B. Bye 🔁
↦ D. Bamba
76′
76′
🔁 G. Martin
↦ T. Olsen
S. Sørli 🔁
↦ T. Gjertsen
79′
B. Lepistu 🔁
↦ L. Kalludra
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

4-1-4-1
1 S. McDermott G
5 D. Ulvestad M
3 C. Aasbak D
19 A. Hopmark D
17 A. Coly D
9 L. Kalludra M
18 S. Aasmundsen M
8 P. Ulvestad
22 B. Sørmo D
11 D. Bamba F
7 T. Gjertsen M
Bench (7)
13 B. Bye
24 S. Sørli
6 B. Lepistu
21 A. Diop
12 A. Vaikla
2 J. Bjerkås
15 E. Sivertsen

Coach: C. Michelsen

Lillestrom

4-4-2
25 M. Igonen G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
3 S. Mikalsen D
5 S. Rafn D
33 A. Melgalvis M
17 K. Ødemarksbakken M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 T. Olsen F
Bench (6)
15 E. Brenden
8 C. Ezeh
9 G. Martin
1 M. Marić
2 M. Haakenstad
22 S. Antonijevic

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Trygve Kjensli · 72 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.