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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
Fiorentina
U U T S U
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina The New Saints
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
4,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,70 xG 0,21
80% Possession 20%
28 Shots 2
10 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
12 Corners 0
4 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-2-3-1
1 P. Terracciano G
33 M. Kayode D
22 M. Moreno D
3 C. Biraghi D
65 F. Parisi D
8 R. Mandragora M
29 Y. Adli M
11 J. Ikoné M
9 L. Beltrán M
7 R. Sottil M
99 C. Kouamé F
Bench (12)
24 A. Richardson
20 M. Kean
10 A. Guðmundsson
2 Dodô
32 D. Cataldi
21 R. Gosens
4 E. Bove
60 E. Kouadio
43 David de Gea
30 T. Martinelli
23 A. Colpani
61 L. Baroncelli

Coach: R. Palladino

The New Saints

4-4-2
25 C. Roberts G
7 J. Daniels D
22 D. Davies D
6 J. Bodenham D
10 D. Redmond D
18 R. Holden M
21 L. Smith M
14 D. Williams M
20 S. Bradley M
28 A. Wilson F
19 B. Clark F
Bench (11)
3 J. Marshall
9 D. McManus
8 R. Brobbel
11 A. Cieślewicz
31 B. Woollam
30 J. Edwards
39 T. Jones
27 J. Canavan
24 A. Baker
2 J. Pask
12 B. Hudson

Coach: C. Harrison

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.