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Eliteserien
Referee: Svein Oddvar Moen
Lillestrom
S U U T T
1–0
Full-time
Sogndal
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Sogndal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
29%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
58%
58%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
17 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
11 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lillestrom 12. · Sogndal 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rosenborg 25 16 6 3 +34 54
2 Sarpsborg 08 24 11 9 4 +9 42
3 Molde 24 12 5 7 +12 41
4 Brann 24 11 7 6 +17 40
5 Stromsgodset 25 10 8 7 +2 38
6 Haugesund 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Odd 25 10 5 10 -7 35
8 Sandefjord 24 10 3 11 -4 33
9 Stabaek 24 9 6 9 -6 33
10 Valerenga 24 8 6 10 -4 30
11 Kristiansund 24 7 8 9 -3 29
12 Lillestrom 24 7 7 10 -6 28
13 Sogndal 24 7 6 11 -7 27
14 Aalesund 24 6 7 11 -5 25
15 Tromso 25 6 7 12 -15 25
16 Viking 24 3 6 15 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lillestrom Sogndal
15′
🟨 Johan Hove
Frode Kippe 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
50′
🔁 B. Utvik
↦ K. Wæhler
Marius Amundsen 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 S. Mandić
↦ G. Koomson
S. Udodji 🔁
↦ F. Krogstad
82′
87′
🔁 B. Bye
↦ C. Nwakali
1–0 F. Kippe
S. Udodji
89′
S. Antonijevic 🔁
↦ E. Brenden
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lillestrom

4-4-2
77 A. Origi G
13 F. Kippe D
4 M. Amundsen D
2 M. Haakenstad D
5 S. Rafn D
15 E. Brenden M
14 F. Krogstad M
6 I. Matthew M
8 C. Ezeh M
11 E. Knudtzon F
10 M. Tagbajumi F
Bench (7)
23 S. Udodji
22 S. Antonijevic
28 H. Kristiansen
1 M. Marić
35 L. Ranger
24 E. Sandberg
7 M. Ebiye

Coach: A. Erlandsen

Sogndal

3-4-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
41 K. Wæhler D
2 T. Teniste D
40 E. Hovland D
16 R. Greenidge D
27 E. Birkelund M
7 E. Schulze F
10 G. Koomson F
4 C. Nwakali M
28 J. Hove M
11 M. Ramsland F
Bench (7)
3 B. Utvik
77 S. Mandić
18 B. Bye
15 P. Steiring
24 E. Skaasheim
13 T. Omenås
31 U. Fredriksen

Coach: E. Bakke

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Svein Oddvar Moen · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.