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Europa League
Referee: S Stegemann
Petrocub
T U S U T
1–2
Full-time
Ludogorets
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Petrocub Ludogorets
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,5
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,7
4,0
Scored
0,3
4,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
9 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 8
6 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. Aug -24 Ludogorets – Petrocub 4–0

Match report

Petrocub Ludogorets
Vasile Jardan 🟨
7′
1–0 V. Ambros ⚽
M. Lupan
28′
30′
🟨 Aguibou Camara
Dan Pușcaș 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
Vladimir Ambros 🟨
48′
Victor Mudrac 🟨
58′
Victor Mudrac 🟨
58′
Victor Mudrac 🟥
58′
D. Demian 🔁
↦ V. Ambros
62′
69′
🔁 K. Duah
↦ Caio Vidal
69′
🔁 S. Delev
↦ Rwan Cruz
M. Căruntu 🔁
↦ M. Lupan
72′
B. Diallo 🔁
↦ M. Plătică
72′
75′
⚽ S. Delev 1–1
76′
🔁 Deroy Duarte
↦ J. Piotrowski
76′
🔁 I. Yordanov
↦ A. Camara
C. Sandu 🔁
↦ T. Lungu
77′
C. Cotogoi 🔁
↦ D. Pușcaș
77′
81′
🟨 Ivan Yordanov
83′
🔁 T. Nedelev
↦ Pedro Naressi
Marin Caruntu 🟨
92′
93′
⚽ Rick 1–2
Dinis Almeida
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Petrocub

3-5-2
1 S. Șmalenea G
90 I. Jardan D
4 V. Mudrac D
66 I. Borș D
11 S. Plătică D
19 M. Plătică M
39 T. Lungu M
30 V. Jardan M
37 D. Pușcaș M
23 M. Lupan F
9 V. Ambros F
Bench (9)
8 D. Demian
22 M. Căruntu
6 B. Diallo
10 C. Sandu
94 C. Cotogoi
5 G. Narh
31 V. Dodon
71 D. Bivol
32 D. Coval

Coach: A. Martin

Ludogorets

4-3-3
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
15 E. Kurtulus D
4 Dinis Almeida D
17 Son D
30 Pedro Naressi M
20 A. Camara M
6 J. Piotrowski M
11 Caio Vidal M
12 Rwan Cruz F
7 Rick M
Bench (11)
9 K. Duah
90 S. Delev
23 Deroy Duarte
82 I. Yordanov
8 T. Nedelev
14 D. Gropper
18 I. Chochev
24 O. Verdon
67 D. Hristov
39 H. Bonmann
19 G. Rusev

Coach: Z. Sirakov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.