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Europa League
Referee: J Brisard
Ludogorets
T S T S S
0–2
Full-time
Slavia Praha
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ludogorets Slavia Praha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,90 xG 0,93
43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 7
2 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 26
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ludogorets Slavia Praha
14′
🟨 Tomáš Chorý
Pedro Naressi 🟨
22′
37′
⚽ M. Jurásek 0–1
T. Chorý
Caio Vidal 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–1
60′
🔁 O. Lingr
↦ M. Jurásek
60′
🔁 M. Chytil
↦ T. Chorý
65′
⚽ M. Chytil 0–2
L. Provod
A. Camara 🔁
↦ K. Duah
66′
I. Chochev 🔁
↦ Pedro Naressi
66′
70′
🟨 El Hadji Malick Diouf
Erick Marcus 🔁
↦ Caio Vidal
74′
Deroy Duarte 🔁
↦ J. Piotrowski
74′
74′
🔁 O. Zmrzlý
↦ E. Diouf
81′
🔁 S. Michez
↦ C. Zafeiris
81′
🔁 F. Prebsl
↦ L. Provod
G. Rusev 🔁
↦ Rick
83′
85′
🟨 Jan Bořil
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Ludogorets

4-2-3-1
1 S. Padt G
16 A. Witry D
24 O. Verdon D
4 Dinis Almeida D
17 Son D
30 Pedro Naressi M
6 J. Piotrowski M
11 Caio Vidal M
12 Rwan Cruz M
7 Rick M
9 K. Duah F
Bench (12)
20 A. Camara
18 I. Chochev
77 Erick Marcus
23 Deroy Duarte
19 G. Rusev
82 I. Yordanov
39 H. Bonmann
15 E. Kurtulus
67 D. Hristov
14 D. Gropper
5 G. Terziev
42 S. Shishkov

Coach: Z. Sirakov

Slavia Praha

3-4-2-1
31 A. Kinský G
3 T. Holeš D
4 D. Zima D
18 J. Bořil D
6 C. Wallem M
10 C. Zafeiris M
19 O. Dorley M
12 E. Diouf M
35 M. Jurásek F
17 L. Provod F
25 T. Chorý F
Bench (11)
32 O. Lingr
13 M. Chytil
33 O. Zmrzlý
14 S. Michez
28 F. Prebsl
24 A. Mandous
50 F. Slavata
48 D. Pech
2 Š. Chaloupek
46 M. Konečný
53 D. Toula

Coach: J. Trpišovský

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Brisard · 168 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.