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Europa League
Referee: M Lukjančukas
Tottenham
S S S T S
1–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,87 xG 0,41
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Tottenham AZ Alkmaar
12′
🔁 D. Kasius
↦ R. van Bommel
Half-time 0–0
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ T. Werner
46′
46′
🔁 P. Koopmeiners
↦ K. Belić
1–0 Richarlison ⚽
53′
56′
🟨 David Möller Wolfe
D. Solanke 🔁
↦ Richarlison
64′
66′
🔁 M. Lahdo
↦ S. Maikuma
P. Sarr 🔁
↦ J. Maddison
73′
D. Kulusevski 🔁
↦ L. Bergvall
73′
80′
🟨 Maxim Dekker
84′
🔁 D. Kwakman
↦ S. Mijnans
84′
🔁 M. Meerdink
↦ M. Dekker
85′
🟨 David Möller Wolfe
85′
🟥 David Möller Wolfe
W. Odobert 🔁
↦ M. Moore
88′
90′
🟨 Jordy Clasie
90′
🟨 Dave Kwakman
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
20 F. Forster G
14 A. Gray D
6 R. Drăgușin D
33 B. Davies D
13 D. Udogie D
15 L. Bergvall M
30 R. Bentancur M
10 J. Maddison M
47 M. Moore F
9 Richarlison F
16 T. Werner F
Bench (12)
22 B. Johnson
19 D. Solanke
29 P. Sarr
21 D. Kulusevski
28 W. Odobert
37 M. van de Ven
42 W. Lankshear
8 Y. Bissouma
23 Pedro Porro
1 G. Vicario
40 B. Austin
17 C. Romero

Coach: A. Postecoglou

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
16 S. Maikuma D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
22 M. Dekker D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
10 S. Mijnans M
14 K. Belić M
21 E. Poku F
9 T. Parrott F
7 R. van Bommel F
Bench (10)
30 D. Kasius
6 P. Koopmeiners
23 M. Lahdo
33 D. Kwakman
35 M. Meerdink
51 J. Berkhout
34 M. de Wit
41 J. Zoet
12 H. Verhulst
17 J. Addai

Coach: M. Martens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjančukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.