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Europa League
Referee: J Xhaja
AZ Alkmaar
S S U S S
3–2
Full-time
Elfsborg
T U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

2,70 xG 0,14
66% Possession 34%
16 Shots 3
9 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 0
2 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Elfsborg
12′
ℹ️ Ahmed Qasem
VAR: Goal cancelled
23′
⚽ T. Ouma 0–1
S. Hedlund
1–1 R. van Bommel ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 R. van Bommel ⚽
50′
53′
⚽ S. Hedlund 2–2
T. Ouma
55′
🔁 J. Abdullai
↦ A. Zeneli
J. Addai 🔁
↦ I. Sadiq
57′
59′
🟨 Timothy Ouma
3–2 T. Parrott ⚽
74′
78′
🔁 J. Larsson
↦ M. Baidoo
78′
🔁 P. Frick
↦ T. Ouma
Sven Mijnans 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Jalal Abdullai
K. Belić 🔁
↦ P. Koopmeiners
84′
Z. Buurmeester 🔁
↦ S. Mijnans
84′
86′
🟥 Sebastian Holmén
88′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ N. Hult
88′
🔁 E. Holten
↦ I. Buhari
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ R. van Bommel
90′
Kristijan Belić 🟨
93′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
1 R. Owusu-Oduro G
16 S. Maikuma D
3 W. Goes D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
6 P. Koopmeiners M
8 J. Clasie M
11 I. Sadiq M
10 S. Mijnans M
7 R. van Bommel M
9 T. Parrott F
Bench (12)
17 J. Addai
14 K. Belić
28 Z. Buurmeester
35 M. Meerdink
30 D. Kasius
21 E. Poku
25 L. Zeefuik
22 M. Dekker
34 M. de Wit
12 H. Verhulst
41 J. Zoet
23 M. Lahdo

Coach: M. Martens

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
8 S. Holmén D
29 I. Buhari D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
16 T. Ouma M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Baidoo F
18 A. Qasem F
Bench (12)
14 J. Abdullai
13 J. Larsson
17 P. Frick
19 R. Kaib
12 E. Holten
30 M. Bundgaard
1 M. Uppenberg
6 A. Baldursson
7 J. Thomasen
11 E. Guðmundsson
20 G. Rapp
4 G. Henriksson

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.