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Ligue 1
Referee: Geoffrey Kubler
Angers
T U U T S
1–2
Full-time
Rennes
T S T U S
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
4,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

44% Possession 56%
19 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 5
11 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 12. · Rennes 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Monaco 3 3 0 0 +4 +1.1 9
2 Lyon 3 2 1 0 +4 -1.0 7
3 Lille 3 2 1 0 +3 -0.9 7
4 Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 +1 -2.8 6
5 Brest 3 1 2 0 +1 +3.9 5
6 Paris FC 2 1 1 0 +3 +3.0 4
7 Rennes 2 1 1 0 +1 -1.2 4
8 Lorient 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.7 4
9 Troyes 3 1 1 1 -3 -0.4 4
10 Marseille 2 1 0 1 +2 +1.4 3
11 Lens 3 1 0 2 +1 +3.7 3
12 Angers 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.5 3
13 Paris SG 3 0 2 1 -1 +1.5 2
14 Le Mans 3 0 2 1 -1 -2.1 2
15 Nice 3 0 2 1 -3 -1.8 2
16 Le Havre 3 0 1 2 -2 -1.8 1
17 Toulouse 3 0 1 2 -3 +0.2 1
18 Auxerre 3 0 0 3 -7 -2.3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Rennes
9′
Przemysław Frankowski 0–1
Sebastian Szymański
17′
Jordan Lefort 1–1
own goal
2–1 Carlens Arcus
Branco Van den Boomen
35′
Bané Diatta 🔁
↦ Anthony Bermont
45′
Half-time 2–1
58′
🟨 Charlie Cresswell
68′
🔁 Issa Soumaré
↦ Mousa Al-Tamari
68′
🔁 Mahamadou Nagida
↦ Quentin Merlin
Harouna Djibirin 🔁
↦ Jim Allevinah
76′
Prosper Peter 🔁
↦ Amine El Ouazzani
76′
77′
🔁 Adrien Thomasson
↦ Sebastian Szymański
77′
🔁 Eliezer Mayenda
↦ Ludovic Blas
Usman Simbakoli 🔁
↦ Amine Sbaï
83′
Lillian Rao-Lisoa 🔁
↦ Carlens Arcus
83′
89′
🔁 Boulaye Dia
↦ Esteban Lepaul
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 Anthony Lopes G
2 C. Arcus D
4 O. Camara D
21 J. Lefort D
17 J. Kalulu D
14 Y. Belkhdim M
8 B. van den Boomen M
18 J. Allevinah M
10 A. Sbaï M
26 A. Bermont M
19 A. El Ouazzani F
Bench (9)
40 Oumar Pona
27 L. Rao-Lisoa
24 E. Biumla
9 P. Peter
11 Djibirin Harouna
7 U. Simbakoli
20 Marius Louër
34 M. Gernigon
36 Bane Diatta

Coach: S. Gilli

Rennes

4-3-3
30 B. Samba G
95 P. Frankowski D
4 C. Cresswell D
24 A. Rouault D
26 Q. Merlin D
17 S. Szymański M
21 V. Rongier M
45 M. Camara M
11 Mousa Tamari F
9 E. Lepaul F
10 L. Blas F
Bench (9)
90 I. Soumaré
70 A. Nordin
22 B. Dia
12 Eliezer Mayenda
28 A. Thomasson
14 B. Reynolds
5 Gonçalo Oliveira
18 M. Nagida
16 N. Lemaître

Coach: F. Haise

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,79
U
3,75
B ✓
1,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,15
U1,5
4,55
O2,5 ✓
1,64
U2,5
2,17
O3,5
2,33
U3,5 ✓
1,52
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,53
BLS nei
2,34

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.