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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Genk

T S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Anderlecht

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,5

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 13/15 matches

Win Ø 32%

31%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

69%

33%

Both score Ø 66%

92%

40%

Average goals

3,2

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,07 xG 0,62

53% Possession 47%

18 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 15. · Anderlecht 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	11	1	3	+13	+4.4	34
2	St. Gilloise	14	9	5	0	+21	+16.7	32
3	St Truiden	15	10	2	3	+9	+14.5	32
4	Mechelen	16	7	7	2	+7	-3.0	28
5	Gent	14	8	2	4	+7	+3.6	26
6	Antwerp	16	6	4	6	+4	-0.1	22
7	Waregem	18	6	3	9	-4	-6.6	21
8	Cercle Brugge	20	5	6	9	-5	-3.1	21
9	Westerlo	18	5	6	7	-6	+1.1	21
10	Anderlecht	15	5	5	5	+0	+4.8	20
11	Charleroi	16	5	3	8	-3	-1.4	18
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	4	6	7	-5	-3.2	18
13	RAAL La Louviere	18	4	6	8	-6	-7.6	18
14	Standard	16	5	3	8	-11	-9.4	18
15	Genk	13	4	4	5	-2	-0.9	16
16	Dender	19	2	5	12	-19	-9.7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	6	6	0	0	+16	+9.0	18
2	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+4	+0.5	16
3	Gent	7	5	0	2	+7	+2.5	15
4	St Truiden	8	5	0	3	+0	+5.1	15
5	Waregem	9	4	1	4	+1	-1.3	13
6	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
7	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+0	+3.1	11
8	Mechelen	7	2	4	1	+1	+1.1	10
9	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.7	10
10	Anderlecht	7	2	3	2	+2	+5.3	9
11	Charleroi	8	2	3	3	-1	-0.1	9
12	Genk	7	2	2	3	-2	+3.6	8
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	1	4	4	-1	-0.8	7
14	Standard	8	1	3	4	-7	-3.0	6
15	Cercle Brugge	11	1	3	7	-9	-2.0	6
16	Dender	9	1	1	7	-11	-3.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	7	6	0	1	+9	+3.9	18
2	Mechelen	9	5	3	1	+6	-4.2	18
3	St Truiden	7	5	2	0	+9	+9.4	17
4	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	+4	-1.1	15
5	St. Gilloise	8	3	5	0	+5	+7.7	14
6	Standard	8	4	0	4	-4	-6.4	12
7	Gent	7	3	2	2	+0	+1.1	11
8	Anderlecht	8	3	2	3	-2	-0.5	11
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	-4	-2.4	11
10	Antwerp	7	3	1	3	+3	-0.0	10
11	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
12	Charleroi	8	3	0	5	-2	-1.2	9
13	Genk	6	2	2	2	+0	-4.5	8
14	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	2	5	-4	-3.0	8
15	Waregem	9	2	2	5	-5	-5.2	8
16	Dender	10	1	4	5	-8	-5.9	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.