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Pro League
Referee: M Allaerts
Dender
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Antwerp
U S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 21%
6%
36%
Points per game
0,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 60%
63%
57%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,09 xG 0,47
48% Possession 52%
10 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 3
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dender 16. · Antwerp 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 13 9 4 0 +21 +16.4 31
2 Club Brugge 14 10 1 3 +12 +3.8 31
3 Mechelen 14 7 5 2 +7 -3.9 26
4 St Truiden 11 7 2 2 +5 +10.5 23
5 Gent 11 7 1 3 +5 +2.6 22
6 Waregem 16 6 3 7 -2 -5.5 21
7 Anderlecht 13 5 4 4 +2 +3.4 19
8 Antwerp 14 5 4 5 +1 -3.3 19
9 Cercle Brugge 17 4 5 8 -2 +1.4 17
10 Westerlo 15 4 5 6 -3 +4.9 17
11 RAAL La Louviere 16 4 5 7 -5 -6.5 17
12 Charleroi 14 4 3 7 -4 -1.6 15
13 Standard 14 4 3 7 -9 -7.8 15
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13 3 4 6 -6 -3.5 13
15 Genk 11 3 3 5 -3 +0.4 12
16 Dender 16 1 4 11 -19 -11.3 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dender Antwerp
1–0 R. Kvet
B. Nsimba
32′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Foulon
↦ C. Scott
46′
🔁 A. Valencia
↦ K. Kouyate
Roman Kvet 🟨
56′
59′
🔁 A. Verstraeten
↦ D. Praet
59′
🔁 G. Vandeplas
↦ M. Al Sahafi
N. Moutha-Sebtaoui 🔁
↦ F. Ferraro
75′
M. Berte 🔁
↦ D. Toshevski
83′
83′
🔁 I. Babadi
↦ T. Somers
N. Rodes 🔁
↦ N. Mbamba
89′
A. Jahanbakhsh 🔁
↦ B. Nsimba
90′
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Dender

3-4-1-2
93 G. Gallon G
5 L. Marijnissen D
21 K. Cools D
7 B. Goncalves D
70 M. Sambu M
17 N. Mbamba M
24 M. Viltard M
88 F. Ferraro M
16 R. Kvet F
9 D. Toshevski F
77 B. Nsimba F
Bench (9)
1 L. Fortin
18 N. Rodes
15 K. Koton
45 A. Daali
23 D. Acquah
19 J. A. Kadiri
27 A. Jahanbakhsh
67 N. Moutha-Sebtaoui
90 M. Berte

Coach: Yannick Ferrera

Antwerp

3-4-3
41 T. Nozawa G
33 Z. Van Den Bosch D
25 K. Kouyate D
4 Y. Tsunashima D
24 T. Somers M
8 D. Praet M
78 X. Dierckx M
30 C. Scott M
7 G. Kerk F
18 V. Janssen F
9 M. Al Sahafi F
Bench (8)
15 Y. Thoelen
5 D. Foulon
10 I. Babadi
14 A. Valencia
17 S. Renders
19 M. Urinboev
21 A. Verstraeten
79 G. Vandeplas

Coach: Faris Haroun

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,86
U
3,18
B
2,43
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,98
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Allaerts · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.