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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Standard

T T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Beerschot VA

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Beerschot VA

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

4,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,2

3,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

0,7

3,7

Scored

0,3

1,3

Conceded

0,3

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,81 xG 1,04

43% Possession 57%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 1

7 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Standard 10. · Beerschot VA 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	5	2	2	1	+3	-0.4	8
2	St. Gilloise	5	2	2	1	+2	+2.8	8
3	Anderlecht	3	2	1	0	+3	+2.4	7
4	Antwerp	3	2	0	1	+5	+2.3	6
5	Gent	4	2	0	2	+2	-0.3	6
6	Charleroi	4	2	0	2	+2	+1.4	6
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	4	1	3	0	+2	+0.1	6
8	Westerlo	3	2	0	1	+1	+1.1	6
9	Club Brugge	3	1	1	1	+0	+1.5	4
10	Standard	3	1	1	1	+0	-3.2	4
11	Genk	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.4	4
12	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	-1	-2.4	4
13	Kortrijk	3	1	0	2	-3	+1.0	3
14	St Truiden	5	0	2	3	-9	-4.4	2
15	Beerschot VA	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.4	1
16	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Westerlo	2	2	0	0	+4	+2.7	6
2	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.0	6
3	Dender	3	1	1	1	+2	+0.5	4
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.5	4
5	Anderlecht	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.8	4
6	Antwerp	2	1	0	1	+4	+1.2	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.6	3
8	Standard	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
9	Kortrijk	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.7	3
10	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.4	3
11	St Truiden	3	0	2	1	-3	-2.6	2
12	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.4	1
13	Genk	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.7	1
14	Beerschot VA	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
15	Mechelen	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Dender	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
2	Mechelen	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
3	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	+2	+1.0	3
4	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.6	3
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
6	Club Brugge	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.1	3
7	Gent	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.9	3
8	Genk	2	1	0	1	-1	+1.8	3
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.4	2
10	St. Gilloise	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.2	2
11	Standard	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.9	1
12	Cercle Brugge	2	0	1	1	-3	-2.9	1
13	Beerschot VA	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.3	0
14	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.6	0
15	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-6	-1.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.