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Pro League

Referee: M Allaerts

Eupen

T T T T T

1–0

Full-time

St Truiden

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

0,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,3

Goal diff per game

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 22/18 matches

Win Ø 18%

14%

22%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

44%

Both score Ø 51%

45%

56%

Average goals

2,9

2,7

Scored

0,7

0,9

Conceded

2,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,86 xG 1,14

32% Possession 68%

7 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

5 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 16. · St Truiden 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	20	16	3	1	+27	+22.6	51
2	Anderlecht	19	13	5	1	+23	+13.8	44
3	Cercle Brugge	19	13	2	4	+18	+10.7	41
4	Club Brugge	19	12	4	3	+33	+32.6	40
5	Antwerp	20	10	7	3	+28	+20.4	37
6	Genk	18	9	6	3	+20	+24.2	33
7	Mechelen	20	9	5	6	+5	-0.3	32
8	Gent	18	7	7	4	+7	+7.9	28
9	Westerlo	19	5	5	9	-6	-7.2	20
10	Standard	19	4	7	8	-9	-11.9	19
11	Charleroi	23	4	7	12	-17	-13.4	19
12	St Truiden	18	4	6	8	-16	-10.9	18
13	RWD Molenbeek	23	4	6	13	-31	-30.6	18
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	3	6	11	-14	-7.1	15
15	Kortrijk	23	3	4	16	-35	-23.4	13
16	Eupen	22	3	2	17	-33	-27.3	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	2	0	+16	+12.4	26
2	Anderlecht	9	8	1	0	+14	+9.7	25
3	Club Brugge	10	7	3	0	+21	+18.2	24
4	Cercle Brugge	9	7	1	1	+13	+8.2	22
5	Antwerp	10	6	3	1	+21	+16.6	21
6	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
7	Genk	9	5	3	1	+12	+16.1	18
8	Gent	9	4	4	1	+6	+7.0	16
9	Charleroi	12	3	4	5	-6	-0.5	13
10	RWD Molenbeek	12	3	4	5	-12	-11.6	13
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	3	4	+2	-2.7	12
12	Westerlo	9	4	0	5	-1	-2.3	12
13	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9
16	Eupen	11	2	1	8	-14	-10.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	10	8	1	1	+11	+10.2	25
2	Anderlecht	10	5	4	1	+9	+4.1	19
3	Cercle Brugge	10	6	1	3	+5	+2.5	19
4	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
5	Antwerp	10	4	4	2	+7	+3.8	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
7	Mechelen	10	4	1	5	-4	-3.2	13
8	Gent	9	3	3	3	+1	+0.8	12
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	10	1	5	4	-8	-9.6	8
11	Charleroi	11	1	3	7	-11	-12.9	6
12	St Truiden	9	1	3	5	-12	-9.8	6
13	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
14	Eupen	11	1	1	9	-19	-16.4	4
15	Kortrijk	11	1	1	9	-24	-16.5	4
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	0	3	7	-16	-4.4	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.