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Svenska Cupen

Referee: A Ladebäck

Djurgarden

T T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Degerfors

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Degerfors

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

3,7

Scored

2,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Svenska Cupen · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 88%

75%

100%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

4,0

Scored

3,8

3,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+3,5

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Djurgarden 3. · Degerfors 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AIK	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Halmstad	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Djurgarden	4	4	0	0	+14	12
4	Malmo FF	4	3	1	0	+12	10
5	Brommapojkarna	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	Mjallby	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	Oster	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Varnamo	4	3	0	1	+3	9
9	Goteborg	4	3	0	1	+1	9
10	Orebro SK	4	3	0	1	+1	9
11	Norrkoping	4	2	2	0	+10	8
12	Degerfors	4	2	2	0	+8	8
13	Sirius	4	2	2	0	+8	8
14	Hacken	4	2	1	1	+4	7
15	Elfsborg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
16	Hammarby	4	2	1	1	+3	7
17	GAIS	4	2	1	1	+2	7
18	Varberg	4	2	1	1	+2	7
19	Kalmar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
20	Vasteras SK	4	2	1	1	+2	7
21	Trelleborg	4	2	1	1	+1	7
22	Skövde AIK	4	2	0	2	+3	6
23	IK brage	4	1	3	0	+2	6
24	Landskrona	4	2	0	2	+1	6
25	United Nordic	5	2	0	3	-1	6
26	Ostersunds FK	4	2	0	2	-1	6
27	Orgryte	4	2	0	2	-5	6
28	Stockholm Internazionale	2	1	1	0	+1	4
29	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-1	4
30	IFK Luleå	5	1	1	3	-16	4
31	Falkenbergs FF	2	1	0	1	+10	3
32	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
33	Olympic	2	1	0	1	+4	3
34	Sandviken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
35	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
36	IF Karlstad	2	1	0	1	+2	3
37	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
38	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
39	Tvååker	2	1	0	1	+1	3
40	Smedby	2	1	0	1	+1	3
41	Helsingborg	4	1	0	3	+0	3
42	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Husqvarna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
44	Stocksund	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
46	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
47	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
48	Jonsered	2	1	0	1	-1	3
49	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
50	Lund	2	1	0	1	-1	3
51	Dalkurd FF	2	1	0	1	-2	3
52	Örebro Syrianska	2	1	0	1	-2	3
53	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
54	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
55	Gefle IF	4	1	0	3	-3	3
56	IFK Österåker	2	1	0	1	-3	3
57	IFK Hässleholm	2	1	0	1	-3	3
58	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
59	Utsikten	4	1	0	3	-6	3
60	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
61	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
62	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
63	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
64	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
65	Franke	2	0	1	1	-5	1
66	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
67	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
73	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
74	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
75	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
76	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
77	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
78	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
79	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
80	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
82	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
83	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
84	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
85	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
89	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
90	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
91	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
92	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
93	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
94	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
95	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0
96	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	AIK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Brommapojkarna	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Mjallby	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Kalmar	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Elfsborg	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Malmo FF	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Hacken	2	1	1	0	+2	4
12	Hammarby	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Halmstad	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	IFK Luleå	4	1	1	2	-11	4
15	Hudiksvall	2	1	0	1	+5	3
16	Oster	1	1	0	0	+5	3
17	GAIS	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Jönköpings BK	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Berga	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Karlshamn	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Landskrona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Orgryte	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Varnamo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Trelleborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Goteborg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Ostersunds FK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Orebro SK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Skövde AIK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Hässleholms IF	2	1	0	1	+0	3
30	Tyresö W	2	1	0	1	+0	3
31	Sollentuna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	Dalstorps	2	1	0	1	-1	3
33	Zenith	2	1	0	1	-1	3
34	Rosengård	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	United Nordic	3	1	0	2	-3	3
36	Trollhättan	2	1	0	1	-3	3
37	Lucksta	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Vasteras SK	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Rågsved	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Stockholm Internazionale	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	IK brage	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	Katrineholms SK	2	0	1	1	-3	1
43	Roslagsbro	2	0	1	1	-5	1
44	Huddinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Tvååker	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Karlberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	IF Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	FBK Karlstad	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Laholm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Falkenbergs FF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Gefle IF	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Helsingborg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Olympic	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Höllviken	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	IFK Skövde	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Utsikten	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Gute	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	Åsarp-Trädet	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Lund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Husqvarna	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Stocksund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	Smedby	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	Göteborgs FF	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Varberg	1	0	0	1	-3	0
65	Jonsered	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	Örebro Syrianska	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Täby	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Dalkurd FF	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	Torstorps	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Skå IK Bygdegård	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	Högsäter	1	0	0	1	-3	0
72	Sandviken	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	IFK Hässleholm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Simrishamn	1	0	0	1	-5	0
75	Franke	1	0	0	1	-5	0
76	Korsnäs	1	0	0	1	-6	0
77	IFK Österåker	1	0	0	1	-6	0
78	Torestorp-Älekulla	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Halmstad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	AIK	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Varberg	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Malmo FF	2	2	0	0	+10	6
5	Djurgarden	2	2	0	0	+9	6
6	Oster	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Vasteras SK	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Varnamo	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	Goteborg	3	2	0	1	+0	6
10	Orebro SK	3	2	0	1	+0	6
11	IK brage	3	1	2	0	+2	5
12	Norrkoping	2	1	1	0	+6	4
13	Sirius	2	1	1	0	+6	4
14	Brommapojkarna	2	1	1	0	+5	4
15	Degerfors	2	1	1	0	+3	4
16	Mjallby	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Trelleborg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
18	Sundsvall	4	1	1	2	-1	4
19	GAIS	3	1	1	1	-1	4
20	Falkenbergs FF	1	1	0	0	+11	3
21	Sandviken	1	1	0	0	+6	3
22	Olympic	1	1	0	0	+5	3
23	Smedby	1	1	0	0	+3	3
24	IFK Österåker	1	1	0	0	+3	3
25	IF Karlstad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
26	Hacken	2	1	0	1	+2	3
27	Skövde AIK	3	1	0	2	+2	3
28	Husqvarna	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Stocksund	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	United Nordic	2	1	0	1	+2	3
31	Jonsered	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Hammarby	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Tvååker	1	1	0	0	+2	3
34	Helsingborg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
35	Elfsborg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
36	Dalkurd FF	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Stockholm Internazionale	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Örebro Syrianska	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	IFK Hässleholm	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Lund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Landskrona	3	1	0	2	+0	3
42	Kalmar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
43	Gefle IF	3	1	0	2	-2	3
44	Ostersunds FK	3	1	0	2	-2	3
45	Utsikten	3	1	0	2	-4	3
46	Orgryte	3	1	0	2	-6	3
47	Skellefteå	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Haninge	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Franke	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Järfälla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	Ahlafors	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Lindome	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Räppe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	AFC Eskilstuna	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	Oddevold	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	Uppsala	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	Vasalund	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	IFK Malmö	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	IFK Östersund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	Oskarshamns AIK	1	0	0	1	-3	0
61	Jonkopings Sodra	1	0	0	1	-3	0
62	Lindsdal	1	0	0	1	-3	0
63	Hemgårdarnas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
64	IFK Luleå	1	0	0	1	-5	0
65	Gottne	1	0	0	1	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.