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Pro League

Referee: N Verboomen

Eupen

T S T T T

0–2

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

0,3

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/16 matches

Win Ø 45%

15%

75%

Points per game

0,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

60%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

3,0

2,9

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

2,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,29 xG 2,02

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 17

1 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eupen 16. · Cercle Brugge 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	18	15	2	1	+25	+20.6	47
2	Anderlecht	17	11	5	1	+19	+12.2	38
3	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
4	Cercle Brugge	16	12	1	3	+17	+12.3	37
5	Antwerp	18	8	7	3	+24	+16.9	31
6	Genk	17	8	6	3	+19	+22.5	30
7	Mechelen	19	8	5	6	+4	-2.3	29
8	Gent	17	7	6	4	+7	+8.4	27
9	Westerlo	18	5	5	8	-5	-7.3	20
10	Standard	18	4	7	7	-8	-10.3	19
11	St Truiden	17	4	6	7	-13	-8.1	18
12	RWD Molenbeek	22	4	6	12	-28	-29.0	18
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	3	6	9	-10	-4.9	15
14	Charleroi	21	3	6	12	-18	-13.5	15
15	Kortrijk	22	3	4	15	-34	-22.8	13
16	Eupen	20	3	2	15	-30	-26.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	8	1	0	+16	+11.9	25
2	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
3	Anderlecht	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.7	22
4	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
5	Mechelen	10	5	4	1	+9	+2.8	19
6	Antwerp	9	5	3	1	+18	+13.7	18
7	Gent	9	4	4	1	+6	+7.0	16
8	Genk	8	4	3	1	+11	+14.5	15
9	RWD Molenbeek	11	3	4	4	-9	-9.9	13
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	3	3	+4	-1.2	12
11	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
12	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
13	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-6	-0.8	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.3	9
16	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+9	+8.7	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
4	Genk	9	4	3	2	+8	+8.1	15
5	Cercle Brugge	8	5	0	3	+3	+2.1	15
6	Antwerp	9	3	4	2	+6	+3.2	13
7	Gent	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.3	11
8	Mechelen	9	3	1	5	-5	-5.1	10
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	9	1	5	3	-7	-7.9	8
11	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-9	-6.9	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
13	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-18	-16.4	4
14	Kortrijk	11	1	1	9	-24	-16.5	4
15	Charleroi	10	0	3	7	-12	-12.7	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	0	3	6	-14	-3.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.