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Pro League
Referee: B Van Driessche
St Truiden
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Eupen
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
29%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
57%
71%
Both score Ø 65%
62%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 16. · Eupen 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 19 15 2 2 +32 47
2 Anderlecht 18 11 6 1 +29 39
3 Club Brugge 18 11 4 3 +13 37
4 Kortrijk 22 10 7 5 +8 37
5 Antwerp 18 10 3 5 +11 33
6 Charleroi 18 9 5 4 +12 32
7 Mechelen 19 9 2 8 +0 29
8 Genk 17 8 4 5 +14 28
9 Cercle Brugge 23 8 4 11 +1 28
10 Gent 17 7 5 5 +7 26
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 22 6 8 8 -7 26
12 Standard 21 7 5 9 -11 26
13 Oostende 22 8 2 12 -19 26
14 Eupen 21 7 4 10 -5 25
15 Waregem 22 6 5 11 -18 23
16 St Truiden 21 6 3 12 -13 21
17 Seraing 21 6 1 14 -19 19
18 Seraing United 21 6 1 14 -19 19
19 Beerschot VA 20 3 3 14 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Eupen
Daiki Hashioka 🟨
3′
25′
🔁 K. N’Dri
↦ B. Poulain
1–0 T. Hara
M. Konaté
25′
33′
🟨 Stef Peeters
Half-time 1–0
C. Durkin 🔁
↦ D. Hashioka
52′
R. Reitz 🔁
↦ D. Lavalée
69′
78′
🟨 Emmanuel Agbadou
78′
🔁 S. Keita
↦ J. Déom
80′
🟨 Jonathan Heris
2–0 Y. Suzuki
C. Brüls
81′
83′
🔁 E. Sowah Adjei
↦ B. Lambert
A. Koita 🔁
↦ L. Cacace
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

St Truiden

5-3-2
21 D. Schmidt G
37 T. Leistner D
40 J. Pius D
27 D. Lavalée M
13 L. Cacace D
4 D. Hashioka D
44 C. Brüls M
20 R. Bauer D
6 M. Konaté M
9 Y. Suzuki F
18 T. Hara F
Bench (7)
32 C. Durkin
8 R. Reitz
14 A. Koita
35 W. Vanmarsenille
30 N. Balongo
39 Jonathan Buatu
15 D. Hayashi

Coach: B. Hollerbach

Eupen

3-5-2
33 A. Nurudeen G
6 B. Poulain D
28 J. Heris M
5 Jordi Amat D
24 S. Gnaka M
35 B. Lambert M
15 G. Magnée M
22 E. Agbadou D
8 S. Peeters M
14 J. Déom F
7 J. Ngoy F
Bench (7)
11 K. N’Dri
13 S. Keita
25 E. Sowah Adjei
18 A. Keita
23 A. Nanah
12 L. Offermann
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: S. Krämer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,23
U
3,48
B
3,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,84
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Van Driessche · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.