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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Anderlecht

U T U S S

4–1

Full-time

St Truiden

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

63%

25%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

75%

38%

Both score Ø 72%

88%

56%

Average goals

3,4

2,5

Scored

2,2

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,12 xG 1,37

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

2 Corners 2

2 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · St Truiden 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	17	14	2	1	+24	+19.5	44
2	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
3	Cercle Brugge	16	12	1	3	+17	+12.3	37
4	Anderlecht	16	10	5	1	+16	+10.4	35
5	Antwerp	17	8	6	3	+24	+17.9	30
6	Genk	16	7	6	3	+18	+21.6	27
7	Mechelen	18	7	5	6	+1	-2.7	26
8	Gent	15	6	5	4	+5	+7.4	23
9	Westerlo	18	5	5	8	-5	-7.3	20
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	St Truiden	16	4	6	6	-10	-6.3	18
12	RWD Molenbeek	21	4	5	12	-28	-29.2	17
13	Charleroi	20	3	6	11	-17	-12.6	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	3	5	9	-10	-4.6	14
15	Kortrijk	21	3	4	14	-31	-22.4	13
16	Eupen	19	3	2	14	-28	-26.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+15	+10.8	22
2	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
3	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
4	Anderlecht	7	6	1	0	+10	+7.9	19
5	Antwerp	9	5	3	1	+18	+13.7	18
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.4	16
7	Genk	8	4	3	1	+11	+14.5	15
8	Gent	8	4	3	1	+6	+6.1	15
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	3	3	+4	-1.2	12
10	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
11	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
12	Charleroi	10	3	3	4	-5	+0.1	12
13	RWD Molenbeek	10	3	3	4	-9	-10.2	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.3	9
16	Eupen	9	2	1	6	-10	-10.1	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+9	+8.7	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
4	Cercle Brugge	8	5	0	3	+3	+2.1	15
5	Genk	8	3	3	2	+7	+7.1	12
6	Antwerp	8	3	3	2	+6	+4.2	12
7	Mechelen	9	3	1	5	-5	-5.1	10
8	Gent	7	2	2	3	-1	+1.2	8
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
11	St Truiden	7	1	3	3	-6	-5.2	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
13	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-18	-16.4	4
14	Kortrijk	10	1	1	8	-21	-16.1	4
15	Charleroi	10	0	3	7	-12	-12.7	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.