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Süper Lig

Referee: H Meler

Kayserispor

U U S S T

1–1

Full-time

Hatayspor

S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Hatayspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 29%

36%

21%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 56%

57%

54%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,75 xG 0,27

60% Possession 40%

18 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 2

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 10. · Hatayspor 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	29	25	3	1	+47	+39.5	78
2	Fenerbahce	28	23	4	1	+50	+50.4	73
3	Trabzonspor	29	15	4	10	+12	+2.1	49
4	Besiktas	28	14	4	10	+7	+9.4	46
5	Buyuksehyr	29	12	6	11	+4	-0.4	42
6	Kasimpasa	28	11	7	10	-2	-10.0	40
7	Rizespor	29	11	6	12	-13	-7.1	39
8	Antalyaspor	29	9	11	9	+1	+0.5	38
9	Sivasspor	29	9	11	9	-4	-6.1	38
10	Kayserispor	28	10	8	10	-6	-9.0	38
11	Ad. Demirspor	29	8	12	9	+4	-1.6	36
12	Alanyaspor	29	8	12	9	-5	+2.1	36
13	Samsunspor	28	9	6	13	-4	+3.3	33
14	Konyaspor	29	7	11	11	-11	-10.6	32
15	Ankaragücü	28	6	12	10	-3	-4.0	30
16	Karagumruk	29	7	8	14	-4	-12.5	29
17	Hatayspor	28	6	11	11	-7	-3.9	29
18	Gaziantep	28	7	7	14	-10	-11.2	28
19	Pendikspor	28	6	8	14	-25	-11.2	26
20	İstanbulspor	28	3	7	18	-31	-19.7	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	15	15	0	0	+28	+27.7	45
2	Fenerbahce	14	10	3	1	+24	+27.5	33
3	Rizespor	15	9	3	3	+8	+4.4	30
4	Trabzonspor	14	9	1	4	+8	+5.0	28
5	Ad. Demirspor	14	8	3	3	+12	+5.7	27
6	Samsunspor	14	8	2	4	+8	+4.4	26
7	Besiktas	14	8	2	4	+8	+6.4	26
8	Buyuksehyr	15	8	2	5	+7	+1.3	26
9	Antalyaspor	15	6	7	2	+3	+2.0	25
10	Karagumruk	14	6	5	3	+12	-0.8	23
11	Kayserispor	14	6	5	3	+5	+1.1	23
12	Kasimpasa	14	6	4	4	+0	-3.8	22
13	Alanyaspor	14	5	6	3	+3	+4.6	21
14	Konyaspor	14	5	4	5	+3	+2.2	19
15	Hatayspor	14	4	7	3	+2	-1.8	19
16	Sivasspor	14	4	7	3	+2	+1.7	19
17	Ankaragücü	15	4	7	4	+0	+1.3	19
18	Pendikspor	14	4	3	7	-10	-7.6	15
19	Gaziantep	14	3	5	6	-6	-6.0	14
20	İstanbulspor	14	2	3	9	-16	-11.1	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	14	13	1	0	+26	+22.9	40
2	Galatasaray	14	10	3	1	+19	+11.8	33
3	Trabzonspor	15	6	3	6	+4	-2.8	21
4	Besiktas	14	6	2	6	-1	+2.9	20
5	Sivasspor	15	5	4	6	-6	-7.7	19
6	Kasimpasa	14	5	3	6	-2	-6.2	18
7	Buyuksehyr	14	4	4	6	-3	-1.6	16
8	Alanyaspor	15	3	6	6	-8	-2.5	15
9	Kayserispor	14	4	3	7	-11	-10.1	15
10	Gaziantep	14	4	2	8	-4	-5.1	14
11	Antalyaspor	14	3	4	7	-2	-1.5	13
12	Konyaspor	15	2	7	6	-14	-12.8	13
13	Ankaragücü	13	2	5	6	-3	-5.3	11
14	Pendikspor	14	2	5	7	-15	-3.6	11
15	Hatayspor	14	2	4	8	-9	-2.1	10
16	Ad. Demirspor	15	0	9	6	-8	-7.3	9
17	Rizespor	14	2	3	9	-21	-11.5	9
18	Samsunspor	14	1	4	9	-12	-1.1	7
19	İstanbulspor	14	1	4	9	-15	-8.6	7
20	Karagumruk	15	1	3	11	-16	-11.7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.