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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

Genk

S S U S S

1–1

Full-time

Cercle Brugge

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

0,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 60%

52%

68%

Points per game

1,9

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 52%

48%

55%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,9

2,0

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,15 xG 1,28

59% Possession 41%

13 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genk 5. · Cercle Brugge 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	22	16	3	3	+25	+23.9	51
2	Cercle Brugge	22	15	3	4	+23	+10.7	48
3	Anderlecht	22	14	5	3	+21	+15.1	47
4	Club Brugge	22	13	5	4	+34	+34.2	44
5	Genk	21	11	7	3	+22	+24.9	40
6	Mechelen	23	11	5	7	+6	+4.9	38
7	Antwerp	22	10	7	5	+26	+18.5	37
8	Gent	21	10	7	4	+19	+14.3	37
9	St Truiden	23	7	7	9	-13	-12.6	28
10	Standard	23	5	9	9	-9	-10.5	24
11	RWD Molenbeek	26	5	7	14	-33	-32.9	22
12	Westerlo	23	5	6	12	-12	-13.4	21
13	Charleroi	25	4	8	13	-22	-15.6	20
14	Kortrijk	25	4	5	16	-34	-23.2	17
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	22	3	7	12	-15	-9.0	16
16	Eupen	26	4	3	19	-38	-29.4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Anderlecht	11	9	1	1	+14	+10.8	28
2	Club Brugge	11	8	3	0	+23	+18.0	27
3	Cercle Brugge	11	8	2	1	+17	+9.2	26
4	St. Gilloise	11	8	2	1	+15	+13.4	26
5	Gent	11	6	4	1	+15	+10.2	22
6	Mechelen	12	6	4	2	+9	+7.1	22
7	Antwerp	11	6	3	2	+20	+15.2	21
8	Genk	10	6	3	1	+13	+15.8	21
9	St Truiden	12	5	4	3	-1	-1.1	19
10	RWD Molenbeek	13	4	4	5	-10	-12.3	16
11	Standard	11	4	3	4	+3	+0.2	15
12	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-6	-1.2	14
13	Westerlo	11	4	1	6	-4	-5.3	13
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	3	3	5	+1	-3.7	12
15	Eupen	13	3	2	8	-13	-11.9	11
16	Kortrijk	12	2	3	7	-11	-7.0	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	11	8	1	2	+10	+10.5	25
2	Cercle Brugge	11	7	1	3	+6	+1.5	22
3	Genk	11	5	4	2	+9	+9.1	19
4	Anderlecht	11	5	4	2	+7	+4.4	19
5	Club Brugge	11	5	2	4	+11	+16.2	17
6	Antwerp	11	4	4	3	+6	+3.3	16
7	Mechelen	11	5	1	5	-3	-2.1	16
8	Gent	10	4	3	3	+4	+4.1	15
9	Standard	12	1	6	5	-12	-10.7	9
10	St Truiden	11	2	3	6	-12	-11.5	9
11	Westerlo	12	1	5	6	-8	-8.1	8
12	Kortrijk	13	2	2	9	-23	-16.3	8
13	Charleroi	12	1	3	8	-16	-14.4	6
14	RWD Molenbeek	13	1	3	9	-23	-20.6	6
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	11	0	4	7	-16	-5.2	4
16	Eupen	13	1	1	11	-25	-17.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.