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Pro League

Referee: K Van Damme

Charleroi

S T T T U

0–1

Full-time

Genk

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/16 matches

Win Ø 30%

15%

44%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

55%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

70%

56%

Average goals

3,0

3,1

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,39 xG 1,31

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 19

4 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 7

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

14 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 13. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	17	14	2	1	+24	+19.5	44
2	Anderlecht	17	11	5	1	+19	+12.2	38
3	Club Brugge	18	11	4	3	+31	+31.9	37
4	Cercle Brugge	16	12	1	3	+17	+12.3	37
5	Antwerp	17	8	6	3	+24	+17.9	30
6	Genk	16	7	6	3	+18	+21.6	27
7	Gent	16	7	5	4	+7	+7.4	26
8	Mechelen	18	7	5	6	+1	-2.7	26
9	Westerlo	18	5	5	8	-5	-7.3	20
10	Standard	17	4	7	6	-7	-9.1	19
11	St Truiden	17	4	6	7	-13	-8.1	18
12	RWD Molenbeek	21	4	5	12	-28	-29.2	17
13	Charleroi	20	3	6	11	-17	-12.6	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	3	5	9	-10	-4.6	14
15	Kortrijk	21	3	4	14	-31	-22.4	13
16	Eupen	20	3	2	15	-30	-26.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	7	1	0	+15	+10.8	22
2	Cercle Brugge	8	7	1	0	+14	+10.2	22
3	Anderlecht	8	7	1	0	+13	+9.7	22
4	Club Brugge	9	6	3	0	+19	+17.5	21
5	Antwerp	9	5	3	1	+18	+13.7	18
6	Mechelen	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.4	16
7	Genk	8	4	3	1	+11	+14.5	15
8	Gent	8	4	3	1	+6	+6.1	15
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	3	3	3	+4	-1.2	12
10	Westerlo	8	4	0	4	+0	-2.4	12
11	St Truiden	9	3	3	3	-4	-1.2	12
12	Charleroi	10	3	3	4	-5	+0.1	12
13	RWD Molenbeek	10	3	3	4	-9	-10.2	12
14	Standard	9	3	2	4	-1	-2.4	11
15	Kortrijk	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.3	9
16	Eupen	10	2	1	7	-12	-10.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	9	7	1	1	+9	+8.7	22
2	Club Brugge	9	5	1	3	+12	+14.4	16
3	Anderlecht	9	4	4	1	+6	+2.5	16
4	Cercle Brugge	8	5	0	3	+3	+2.1	15
5	Genk	8	3	3	2	+7	+7.1	12
6	Antwerp	8	3	3	2	+6	+4.2	12
7	Gent	8	3	2	3	+1	+1.3	11
8	Mechelen	9	3	1	5	-5	-5.1	10
9	Westerlo	10	1	5	4	-5	-4.9	8
10	Standard	8	1	5	2	-6	-6.8	8
11	St Truiden	8	1	3	4	-9	-6.9	6
12	RWD Molenbeek	11	1	2	8	-19	-19.0	5
13	Eupen	10	1	1	8	-18	-16.4	4
14	Kortrijk	10	1	1	8	-21	-16.1	4
15	Charleroi	10	0	3	7	-12	-12.7	3
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-14	-3.4	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.